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Current Win Probability
Babrungas Plungė 64.6%
Draw 21.3%
Jonava 14.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.3%
23.9%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.6%
23%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Babrungas Plungė's performance.
Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Babrungas Plungė - Jonava Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, ⚽,
78', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - TOPLYGA (Promotion: ) and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 2.
Babrungas has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Jonava has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, Babrungas enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Babrungas has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Babrungas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Babrungas
28
22
4
2
52:13
39
70
11
Jonava
28
8
6
14
31:38
-7
30
Last Results with these Odds
Babrungas Plungė - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 59.31%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Austria
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Canada
France
Germany
Japan
New Zealand
Portugal
Spain
Switzerland
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