Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Badajoz		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.78	3	4.33
	1.9	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.07	4.55
	1.88	3.07	4.55
	1.8	3.13	4.45
	1.8	3.1	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.2)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	4.44 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
49.7%

Draw
29.7%

Gimnástica Segoviana
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástica Segoviana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica Segoviana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Badajoz - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 9).

Badajoz is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gimnástica Segoviana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Badajoz is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.11.23	Getafe B - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Badajoz - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Villanovense - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	3:2 ✺
22.10.23	Navalcarnero - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWWL
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.11.23	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
12.11.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
08.11.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sestao	3:4 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.11.23	Ursaria - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
29.10.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLLW

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