Match Info

Date: 8 March 2020, Sunday


	Badajoz		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.75	3.4
	2.15	2.8	3.65
	1.95	3.15	3.3
	2.27	2.79	3.85
	2.15	2.88	3.6
	2.12	3.04	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.06)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)	3.56 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
42.9%

Draw
31.5%

UCAM Murcia
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

20%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UCAM Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Badajoz - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.20	Villarrobledo - Badajoz	1:3 ✺
22.02.20	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	2:0 ✺
16.02.20	San Fernando - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
09.02.20	Badajoz - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
02.02.20	Algeciras - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.20	UCAM Murcia - Yeclano Deportivo	3:1 ✺
23.02.20	Real Murcia - UCAM Murcia	3:1 ✺
16.02.20	UCAM Murcia - Villarrubia	0:0 ✺
09.02.20	Granada B - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
02.02.20	UCAM Murcia - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.10.19	UCAM Murcia - Badajoz	1:0
07.04.19	UCAM Murcia - Badajoz	1:2
18.11.18	Badajoz - UCAM Murcia	1:0
10.02.18	Badajoz - UCAM Murcia	0:0
24.09.17	UCAM Murcia - Badajoz	1:1

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