Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Challenge League - Round 36

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Location: Esp Stadium (Fislisbach)

Referee: Sanli H. (Tur)


	Baden		Neuchâtel Xamax

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.1	1.55
	4.75	4.33	1.57	Watch
	4.72	4.63	1.59
	4.72	4.64	1.59
	4.4	4.2	1.55
	4.52	4.45	1.58	Watch
	4.4	4.2	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↑ (4.35)	4.36 ↑ (4)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baden
20.2%

Draw
21.1%

Neuchâtel Xamax
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

23.1%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

22.7%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Neuchâtel Xamax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baden than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Baden - Neuchâtel Xamax Predictions

Users Predictions: Neuchâtel Xamax will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Mossi A. (G) 3. Weilenmann Y. (C) 2. Pachonik T. 4. Muff P. 13. Fontana J. 6. Cirelli S. 7. Zumberi L. 10. Laski R. 23. Spielmann M. 26. Furrer G. 27. Giampa D.	44. Hummel Y. (G) 13. Athekame Z. 38. Soro B. 3. Winkler A. 19. Balaruban A. 21. Hammerich M. 7. Fatkic K. (C) 18. Hautier J. 9. Ramizi S. 27. Campos A. 17. Bakayoko S.
Substitutes
14. Brack J. 30. D'Ovidio G. (G) 15. Dzonlagic O. 28. Eraslan E. 43. Gloor F. 44. Hanke M. 29. Kujovic A. 19. Tushi T. 11. Wiskemann M.	32. Calame M. 10. Del Toro D. 15. Epitaux Y. 4. Hajrovic S. 20. N'Sakala F. 11. Rapp S. 26. Roth B. (G) 6. Saiz F. 70. Schwizer D.
Coaches
Winsauer M.	Forte U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Bakayoko S. ⚽, Campos A. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Spielmann M. ⚽, Cirelli S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Fatkic K. ⚽,
56', Zumberi L. ↓, Hanke M. ↑,
56', Weilenmann Y. ↓, Gloor F. ↑,
65', Bakayoko S. ↓, Del Toro D. ↑,
66', Hautier J. ↓, Schwizer D. ↑,
66', Hammerich M. ↓, Saiz F. ↑,
66', Spielmann M. ↓, Dzonlagic O. ↑,
67', Cirelli S. ↓, Kujovic A. ↑,
77', Ramizi S. ↓, Calame M. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Furrer G. ⚽, Kujovic A. (A),
81', Fontana J. ↓, Eraslan E. ↑,
81', Campos A. ↓, Rapp S. ↑,

Preview

Baden is Relegated to Promotion League

Baden has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Xamax is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Xamax is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Baden won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Baden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Baden
Swiss Challenge League
17.05.24	Schaffhausen - Baden	2:2 ✺
09.05.24	Wil 1900 - Baden	3:1 ✺
03.05.24	Baden - Thun	1:5 ✺
27.04.24	Vaduz - Baden	6:0 ✺
23.04.24	Baden - Aarau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLL
- Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League
17.05.24	Neuchâtel Xamax - Stade Nyonnais	4:0 ✺
11.05.24	Neuchâtel Xamax - Vaduz	1:1 ✺
03.05.24	Bellinzona - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:2 ✺
23.04.24	Neuchâtel Xamax - Wil 1900	2:2 ✺
19.04.24	Schaffhausen - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
26.01.24	Neuchâtel Xamax - Baden	1:1
10.11.23	Baden - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:4
26.09.23	Neuchâtel Xamax - Baden	1:2

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