Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Challenge League - Round 32

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Rheinpark Stadion (Vaduz)

Referee: Huwiler D. (Sui)


	Vaduz		Baden

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.2	4.75
	1.63	4.2	4.33
	1.56	4.55	5.21
	1.55	4.56	5.21
	1.55	4.2	4.4
	1.53	4.45	5	Watch
	1.49	4.4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.69)	4.37 ↑ (3.83)	4.83 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaduz
59.7%

Draw
21.1%

Baden
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

23.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Baden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baden than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vaduz - Baden Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vaduz will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Buchel B. (C) 29. Isik G. 15. Gelmi R. 5. Berisha L. 27. Stober F. 66. Njie A. 8. Wieser S. 80. Fosso R. 19. Djokic D. 30. Golliard T. 23. Cavegn F.	1. Spycher T. (G) 43. Gloor F. 2. Pachonik T. 8. Franek C. 4. Muff P. 22. Romano D. 44. Hanke M. 10. Laski R. 29. Kujovic A. 15. Dzonlagic O. 11. Wiskemann M.
Substitutes
9. Chabbi S. 47. Fehr F. 18. Grob M. (G) 7. Hadzi M. 17. Krauchi A. 20. Luchinger S. 6. Rahimi F. 74. Rastoder E. 11. Vayrynen T.	14. Brack J. 6. Cirelli S. 13. Fontana J. 26. Furrer G. 27. Giampa D. 5. Isufi E. 18. Mossi A. (G) 19. Tushi T.
Coaches
Schneider M.	Winsauer M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Franek C. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Cavegn F. (Pen),
37', Laski R. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Cavegn F. ⚽, Golliard T. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Wieser S. ↓, Luchinger S. ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Djokic D. ⚽, Stober F. (A),
55', Franek C. ↓, Isufi E. ↑,
55', Muff P. ↓, Fontana J. ↑,
66', 4 - 0, Golliard T. ⚽, Fosso R. (A),
67', Djokic D. ↓, Rastoder E. ↑,
67', Fosso R. ↓, Krauchi A. ↑,
69', Dzonlagic O. ↓, Brack J. ↑,
70', Kujovic A. ↓, Cirelli S. ↑,
70', Wiskemann M. ↓, Giampa D. ↑,
72', Cavegn F. ↓, Vayrynen T. ↑,
76', Golliard T. ↓, Fehr F. ↑,
86', 5 - 0, Pachonik T. (Own goal),
90', 6 - 0, Isik G. ⚽, Stober F. (A),

Preview

Vaduz in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Baden is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Baden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vaduz is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vaduz to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vaduz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Vaduz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vaduz
Swiss Challenge League
24.04.24	Stade Nyonnais - Vaduz	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Vaduz - Wil 1900	3:1 ✺
12.04.24	Schaffhausen - Vaduz	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Sion - Vaduz	2:2 ✺
01.04.24	Vaduz - Thun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWWTW
- FC Baden
Swiss Challenge League
23.04.24	Baden - Aarau	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	Bellinzona - Baden	4:0 ✺
13.04.24	Baden - Sion	0:3 ✺
05.04.24	Stade Nyonnais - Baden	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Baden - Wil 1900	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
09.03.24	Baden - Vaduz	1:1
05.11.23	Vaduz - Baden	1:2
13.08.23	Baden - Vaduz	2:3

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