Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Challenge League - Round 29

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Esp Stadium (Fislisbach)

Referee: Odiet M. (Sui)


	Baden		Sion

	1	X	2
	6	4.1	1.42
	6.5	4.33	1.44	Watch
	6.8	4.71	1.44
	6.8	4.71	1.43
	7	4.33	1.36
	6.57	4.4	1.43	Watch
	6	4.3	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.52 ↓ (7.4)	4.41 ↓ (4.93)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baden
14.1%

Draw
20.9%

Sion
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

18.9%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

15.6%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baden than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sion than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Baden - Sion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Spycher T. (G) 2. Pachonik T. 8. Franek C. (C) 5. Isufi E. 43. Gloor F. 7. Zumberi L. 10. Laski R. 44. Hanke M. 4. Muff P. 23. Spielmann M. 27. Giampa D.	16. Fayulu T. (G) 14. Lavanchy N. 71. Richard G. 3. Ziegler R. (C) 17. Kronig J. 88. Kabacalman A. 8. Baltazar 23. Berdayes T. 7. Chouaref Y. 11. Bouchlarhem T. 9. Sorgic D.
Substitutes
14. Brack J. 6. Cirelli S. 15. Dzonlagic O. 28. Eraslan E. 26. Furrer G. 18. Mossi A. (G) 22. Romano D. 3. Weilenmann Y. 11. Wiskemann M.	33. Bua K. 35. Chipperfield L. 4. Diouf G. 81. Godwin N. (G) 20. Hefti N. 30. Rusev G. 52. Souza Espana C. 27. Zagre A.
Coaches
Winsauer M.	Tholot D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Bouchlarhem T. ⚽, Berdayes T. (A),
31', Richard G. 🟨,
39', Muff P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Franek C. 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Kabacalman A. ⚽, Sorgic D. (A),
61', Muff P. ↓, Dzonlagic O. ↑,
67', Hanke M. ↓, Romano D. ↑,
67', Pachonik T. ↓, Brack J. ↑,
69', Sorgic D. ↓, Bua K. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Bua K. ⚽,
77', Kabacalman A. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑,
81', Spielmann M. 🟨,
83', Giampa D. ↓, Wiskemann M. ↑,
83', Spielmann M. ↓, Furrer G. ↑,
84', Berdayes T. ↓, Chipperfield L. ↑,
84', Chouaref Y. ↓, Rusev G. ↑,
84', Bouchlarhem T. ↓, Zagre A. ↑,

Preview

Baden is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sion is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Baden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sion is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Baden won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Baden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Baden
Swiss Challenge League
05.04.24	Stade Nyonnais - Baden	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Baden - Wil 1900	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Aarau - Baden	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Baden - Vaduz	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Thun - Baden	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLTL
- FC Sion
Swiss Challenge League
06.04.24	Sion - Vaduz	2:2 ✺
02.04.24	Sion - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Stade Nyonnais - Sion	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Luzern - Sion	2:1 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
15.03.24	Sion - Thun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
09.02.24	Sion - Baden	4:1
21.10.23	Baden - Sion	0:4
01.09.23	Sion - Baden	1:1

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