Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday


	Baglan Dragons		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.33	1.57
	4.18	4.22	1.55
	4.58	4.48	1.55	Watch
	4.68	4.3	1.54
	4.33	4.33	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↓ (4.64)	4.33 ↓ (4.5)	1.56 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baglan Dragons
20.6%

Draw
21%

Llanelli
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

20.2%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

20.1%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (+2%)

Baglan Dragons - Llanelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Wilcox C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', 1 - 1, Hunt J. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Cann E. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Davies H. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 7).

Baglan Dragons is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Llanelli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Baglan Dragons have a series of guest games.

In this match Llanelli is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Baglan Dragons won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Baglan Dragons won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
18.08.24	Baglan Dragons - Ammanford	0:2 ✺
09.08.24	Carmarthen Town - Baglan Dragons	3:2 ✺
06.08.24	Goytre United - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	3:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
27.07.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLT
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru South
16.08.24	Llanelli - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Llantwit Major - Llanelli	2:2 ✺
06.08.24	Llanelli - Cwmbran Celtic	3:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.24	Barry Town United - Llanelli	2:1 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
26.07.24	Taffs Well AFC - Llanelli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
02.03.24	Baglan Dragons - Llanelli	1:2
08.09.23	Llanelli - Baglan Dragons	2:1

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