Match Info

Cymru South - Round 15

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Baglan Dragons		Ammanford

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.35	2.05
	3.14	3.51	2.08
	2.74	3.55	2.34	Watch
	3	3.62	2.18
	3.1	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.74)	3.51 ↓ (3.55)	2.13 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Baglan Dragons
30.6%

Draw
26.2%

Ammanford
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

26.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

25.5%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Baglan Dragons - Ammanford Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Delaney M. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, John D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 3, John A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Recent performances by Baglan Dragons have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ammanford is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ammanford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ammanford could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Baglan Dragons won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Baglan Dragons won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
07.11.25	Baglan Dragons - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Baglan Dragons - Treowen Stars	3:4 ✺
10.10.25	Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Baglan Dragons - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLTT
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
14.11.25	Cambrian United - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Ammanford - Afan Lido	6:0 ✺
01.11.25	Newport City - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Ammanford - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	Ammanford - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
12.04.25	Ammanford - Baglan Dragons	1:1
18.08.24	Baglan Dragons - Ammanford	0:2
17.02.24	Baglan Dragons - Ammanford	1:3
08.12.23	Ammanford - Baglan Dragons	2:2

Upcoming Matches