Match Info

Cymru South - Round 1

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Trethomas Bluebirds		Baglan Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.70	3.85
	1.73	3.84	3.95
	1.75	3.96	4.09	Watch
	1.71	3.80	3.90
	1.77	4.07	3.86
	1.70	3.70	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	3.85 ↓ (3.9)	3.92 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trethomas Bluebirds
52.9%

Draw
23.8%

Baglan Dragons
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

23.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Hood J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, Trethomas Bluebirds is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trethomas Bluebirds won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Trethomas Bluebirds won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Baglan Dragons	10	5	1	4	11:11	0	16
10	Trethomas Bluebirds	9	2	4	3	17:17	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trethomas Bluebirds
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Barry Town United - Trethomas Bluebirds	5:1 ✺
23.06.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Pen-y-Bont	0:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Baglan Dragons - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Cardiff Draconians	4:4 ✺
28.03.26	Ynyshir Albions - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLTTT
- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Baglan Dragons - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Cambrian United - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Baglan Dragons - Carmarthen Town	0:7 ✺
24.03.26	Baglan Dragons - Cwmbran Celtic	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Ammanford - Baglan Dragons	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Baglan Dragons - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1
20.12.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	2:1
01.03.25	Baglan Dragons - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:0
22.11.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	0:1
Welsh League Cup
02.08.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	3:1

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