Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday


	Bahia		Altos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.4	3.6	8.5
	1.37	4.1	7.4
	1.41	4.34	8.58
	1.38	3.9	8.5
	1.37	4.4	8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	4.06 ↓ (4.3)	8 ↑ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
66%

Draw
22.6%

Altos
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

21.7%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

12.4%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-28.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bahia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bahia - Altos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs) and 5).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Altos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bahia is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bahia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bahia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.03.21	CS Alagoano - Bahia	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
21.03.21	Fluminense de Feira - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
20.03.21	Bahia - Sport Recife	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
17.03.21	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
13.03.21	Vitória Salvador - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWTL
- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.03.21	Altos - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
20.03.21	4 de Julho - Altos	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
17.03.21	Altos - Tiradentes PI	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
13.03.21	Altos - Ceará	0:0 ✺
06.03.21	Treze - Altos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
02.03.19	Altos - Bahia	0:5
20.03.18	Bahia - Altos	5:2
30.01.18	Altos - Bahia	0:2
02.03.17	Bahia - Altos	3:0
12.02.17	Altos - Bahia	0:0

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