The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Athletico Paranaense 40%
Draw 28.6%
Bahia 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.2%
28%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
29.5%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Athletico Paranaense - Bahia Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bahia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mycael (G) 25. Dantas 33. Aguirre F. 4. Arthur Dias 12. Gilberto 16. Jadson 14. Luiz Gustavo (C) 37. Esquivel L. 21. Leozinho 7. Mendoza S. 18. Calderon Vargas K. A.
1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 44. Marcos Victor 33. David Duarte 4. Kanu 46. Luciano Juba 14. Erick 5. Nicolas Acevedo (C) 11. Rodrigo 7. Ademir 9. Veliz A. 16. Erick Pulga
Substitutes
47. Chiqueti 53. Dudu Kogitzki 5. Felipinho 2. Gilberto Junior 3. Leo 6. Leo Derik 27. Portilla J. 70. Renan Peixoto 19. Rivaldo J. 23. Santos (G) 22. Teran C. 10. Zapelli B.
8. Caio Alexandre 27. Everaldo 10. Everton Ribeiro 31. Gomez R. 17. Herrera G. (G) 6. Jean Lucas 57. Kaue Junior 3. Moreno M. 77. Ruan Pablo 23. Sanabria M. 12. Willian Jose 66. Ze Guilherme
Coaches
Hellmann O.
Mucke R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Esquivel L. ⚽, Calderon Vargas K. A. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Erick Pulga ⚽,
30', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
38', Aguirre F. 🟨,
45', Arthur Dias 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Leozinho ↓, Rivaldo J. ↑,
46', Aguirre F. ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
64', Erick Pulga ↓, Jean Lucas ↑,
64', Ademir ↓, Kaue Junior ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Rivaldo J. ⚽, Calderon Vargas K. A. (A),
73', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Caio Alexandre ↑,
74', Kaue Junior 🟨,
79', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
80', Gilberto ↓, Gilberto Junior ↑,
85', Veliz A. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
85', Rodrigo ↓, Everton Ribeiro ↑,
89', Rivaldo J. 🟨,
90', Hellmann O. 🟨,
90+5', Everaldo (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Hellmann O. 🟥,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 4th in the Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 1.
In recent outings, Athletico PR has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bahia is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bahia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Athletico PR is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Athletico PR: Claudinho
(Muscle Injury)
Joao Cruz
(Yellow Cards)
Leo Derik
(Thigh Injury)
Viveros K.
(Yellow Cards).
Confirmed absences for Bahia: Leo Vieira
(Knee Injury)
Olivera C.
(Yellow Cards).
Doubtful / questionable for Bahia: Sanabria M.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Athletico PR has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:25 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Athletico PR against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.9 per game).
Brazil
Ecuador
Mexico
Russia
Usa
Watch
#ad
Mycael (G) 
Aguirre F. 
Esquivel L. 
Nicolas Acevedo (C) 
Moreno M. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
