Match Info

Date: 15 July 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Toski M. R. (Bra)


	Vila Nova		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.8
	2.18	2.75	3.6
	2.25	2.65	3.75
	2.3	2.74	4.29
	2.2	2.75	3.8
	2.23	2.8	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.7)	2.73 ↑ (2.63)	3.87 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
41.9%

Draw
34%

CS Alagoano
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

35.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

35.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vila Nova's performance.

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CS Alagoano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CS Alagoano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.4%	72.3%	4.3%

Vila Nova - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 11 - 23.4%). CSA will win (votes: 2 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 34 - 72.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 59.5% – 85.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage)).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Vila Nova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vila Nova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
08.07.22	Vila Nova - Bahia	1:1 ✺
01.07.22	Cruzeiro - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
28.06.22	Vila Nova - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
25.06.22	Criciúma - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
16.06.22	Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTLT
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
07.07.22	CS Alagoano - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
02.07.22	Londrina - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
27.06.22	Sampaio Corrêa - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
23.06.22	CS Alagoano - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
19.06.22	Guarani - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.09.21	CS Alagoano - Vila Nova	1:1
12.06.21	Vila Nova - CS Alagoano	1:0
11.09.18	CS Alagoano - Vila Nova	1:2
01.06.18	Vila Nova - CS Alagoano	0:1

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