Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 17

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	CS Alagoano		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.2	4.4
	1.68	3.35	4.65	Watch
	1.7	3.45	4.93
	1.67	3.47	5.29	Watch
	1.75	3	4.6
	1.68	3.35	4.88	Watch
	1.96	3.2	3.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.92)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	4.62 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
52.5%

Draw
27.7%

Ituano
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.2%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

CS Alagoano - Ituano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Felix (G) 3. Betao 10. Brayann 5. Camacho (C) 99. Ciel 4. Eduardo Biazus 2. Felipe Albuquerque 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 8. Gustavo Nicola 6. Roberto 9. Tiago Marques	12. Pegorari (G) 5. Bruno Silva (C) 14. Carlao 9. Gabriel Razera 6. Guilherme Dal Pian 10. Leo Passos 4. Matheus Mancini 7. Neto Berola 11. Ramon 2. Thassio 8. Thiago Moraes
Substitutes
18. Baianinho 22. Cavalleri M. 14. Diogo Batista 16. Enzo 12. Georgemy (G) 19. Igor Bahia 13. Islan 20. Luciano Naninho 17. Marcelinho 7. Robinho 15. Silas 21. Vander	18. Daniel 13. Dija 16. Eduardo Diniz 21. Felipe Muranga 20. Fernandinho 3. Grigor 30. Vagner (G) 15. Victor Reis 19. Vinicius Popo 17. Walterson Silva
Coaches
Higo	de Freitas U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Gustavo Nicola 🟨,
40', Guilherme Dal Pian 🟨,
45+2', Matheus Mancini 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Felipe Albuquerque ↓, Diogo Batista ↑,
47', Betao 🟨,
48', 1 - 0, Tiago Marques ⚽,
59', 1 - 1, Gabriel Razera ⚽,
60', Tiago Marques ↓, Baianinho ↑,
60', Camacho ↓, Vander ↑,
66', Neto Berola ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
67', Brayann ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Bruno Silva ⚽,
78', Gustavo Nicola ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
79', Leo Passos ↓, Grigor ↑,
79', Ramon ↓, Daniel ↑,
82', Eduardo Biazus 🟨,
84', Bruno Silva 🟨,
85', 2 - 2, Betao ⚽,
88', Gabriel Razera ↓, Vinicius Popo ↑,
88', Thiago Moraes ↓, Walterson Silva ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+6', Igor Bahia 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

CSA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, CSA is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, CSA won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, CSA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
11.08.25	Itabaiana - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
07.08.25	Vasco da Gama - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
02.08.25	CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.07.25	Londrina - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWTL
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie C
09.08.25	Ituano - Confiança	1:2 ✺
04.08.25	Ituano - Londrina	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Itabaiana - Ituano	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Ituano - Botafogo PB	0:3 ✺
13.07.25	Guarani - Ituano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
30.07.22	CS Alagoano - Ituano	1:3
16.04.22	Ituano - CS Alagoano	0:0
Brazilian Serie D
04.09.16	CS Alagoano - Ituano	1:0
27.08.16	Ituano - CS Alagoano	1:2

CS Alagoano - Ituano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide