Match Info

Date: 19 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Toski M. R. (Bra)


	Vasco da Gama		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3	4.5
	1.83	3.05	4.5
	1.78	3.25	4.6
	1.88	3.33	4.93
	1.95	3	4.33
	1.91	3.2	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.61)	3.14 ↓ (3.5)	4.56 ↓ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
49.9%

Draw
29.7%

Ituano
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

26.6%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

26.3%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	13%	9.3%

Vasco da Gama - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 42 - 77.8%). Ituano will win (votes: 5 - 9.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 66.7% – 88.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 15).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vasco is a favorite.

There will not play in Ituano: Pacheco (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
16.07.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Vasco da Gama	3:1 ✺
09.07.22	Criciúma - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
03.07.22	Vasco da Gama - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
29.06.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
24.06.22	Vasco da Gama - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTLW
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
16.07.22	Ituano - Londrina	0:0 ✺
09.07.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Ituano	2:0 ✺
05.07.22	Ituano - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
02.07.22	Ituano - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
28.06.22	Guarani - Ituano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLW

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