Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	09:00	beIN Connect
Bolivia	18:00	ESPN
Brazil	19:00	Paramount+
Canada	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	19:00	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	17:00	Disney+
Ecuador	17:00	ESPN
Georgia	02:00	Silk Universal
Haiti	17:00	Tele Haiti
Israel	00:00	Sport 4
Italy	23:00	Como TV
Mexico	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
New Zealand	11:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Paraguay	19:00	ESPN
Peru	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Spain	23:00	LaLiga+
Uruguay	19:00	Disney+
Usa	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	18:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Bahia		OHiggins

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	11	Watch
	1.31	5.25	9.25
	1.27	4.95	11.5	Watch
	1.25	5.78	11.82
	1.25	5.82	12.53	Watch
	1.25	5	11
	1.25	6.8	11.9	Watch
	1.32	5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (2.15)	5.58 ↑ (3.25)	11.13 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
74.6%

Draw
16.9%

OHiggins
8.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.

OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and OHiggins might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bahia - OHiggins Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 31. Gomez R. 3. Gabriel Xavier 21. Ramos S. 46. Luciano Juba 10. Everton Ribeiro (C) 8. Caio Alexandre 6. Jean Lucas 7. Ademir 12. Willian Jose 16. Erick Pulga	31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 22. Robledo A. (C) 33. Brizuela M. 6. Pavez L. 8. Felipe Ogaz 11. Leiva J. 24. Gonzalez F. 10. Rabello B. 7. Martin Sarrafiore 9. Castillo A.
Substitutes
89. Dell 14. Erick 27. Everaldo 83. Fred Lippert 25. Iago Borduchi 34. Joao Paulo (G) 43. Luiz Gustavo 26. Nicolas Acevedo 99. Olivera C. 11. Rodrigo 23. Sanabria M. 67. Wendel Passos	16. Calderon E. 20. Diaz L. 21. Garrido N. 26. Godoy R. 2. Morales C. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 5. Pinto G. 15. Rojas B. 28. Schamine B. 30. Tapia J. 32. Vecino T. 29. Yanez B.
Coaches
Mucke R.	Bovaglio L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Willian Jose ⚽, Ademir (A),
45+1', Willian Jose (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 2 - 0, Willian Jose ⚽,
45+3', Pavez L. 🟨,
45+7', Luciano Juba 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Felipe Ogaz 🟨,
49', Leiva J. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Castillo A. ⚽, Martin Sarrafiore (A),
56', Pena Jorge 🟨,
63', Rabello B. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
71', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
71', Erick Pulga ↓, Olivera C. ↑,
72', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
78', Willian Jose ↓, Dell ↑,
78', Ademir ↓, Everaldo ↑,
83', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
85', Jean Lucas ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
88', Leiva J. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
89', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,
90+1', Ramos S. 🟨,
90+6', Yanez B. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Gonzalez F. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Everaldo (Penalty Awarded),
2, Castillo A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Luciano Juba (Penalty Awarded),
3, Pavez L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Dell (Penalty Awarded),
4, Vecino T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Rodrigo (Penalty Awarded),
5, Brizuela M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Everton Ribeiro (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

OHiggins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bahia has had a series of away games.

Recently, OHiggins has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bahia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bahia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Bahia - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.23%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
21.02.26	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia	2:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.26	OHiggins - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
14.02.26	Bahia - Jacuipense	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.02.26	Vasco da Gama - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
08.02.26	Juazeirense - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTWT
- OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division
21.02.26	OHiggins - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.26	OHiggins - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.02.26	Deportes Limache - OHiggins	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	OHiggins - Deportes La Serena	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	OHiggins - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
18.02.26	OHiggins - Bahia	1:0

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