The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bahia 56.5%
Draw 25.6%
Red Bull Bragantino 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
24.9%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
24.6%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
89.5%
10.5%
0%
Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bahia will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bahia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 5. Nicolas Acevedo 3. Gabriel Xavier 21. Ramos S. 46. Luciano Juba (C) 8. Caio Alexandre 14. Erick 6. Jean Lucas 99. Olivera C. 16. Erick Pulga 12. Willian Jose
18. Tiago Volpi (C) 52. Tavares R. 14. Pedro Henrique 3. Eduardo Santos 51. Caue Nascimento 5. Fabinho 15. Sosa I. 20. Rodriguinho 32. Herrera J. 9. Pitta I. 17. Vinicinho
Substitutes
7. Ademir 33. David Duarte 63. David Martins 89. Dell 27. Everaldo 31. Gomez R. 25. Iago Borduchi 34. Joao Paulo (G) 44. Marcos Victor 15. Michel Araujo 11. Rodrigo 23. Sanabria M.
4. Alix Vinicius 1. Cleiton (G) 27. Davi Gomes 8. Eduardo Sasha 7. Eric Ramires 6. Gabriel 16. Gustavo Marques 34. Hurtado A. 57. Marcelinho 35. Matheus Fernandes 30. Mosquera H. 28. Yuri Leles
Coaches
Mucke R.
Vagner Mancini
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Luciano Juba ⚽, Jean Lucas (A),
40', 2 - 0, Erick ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Herrera J. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
46', Fabinho ↓, Alix Vinicius ↑,
46', Willian Jose ↓, Everaldo ↑,
60', Caio Alexandre ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
60', Erick Pulga ↓, Ademir ↑,
63', Rodriguinho 🟨,
64', Rodriguinho ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
65', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
77', Vinicinho ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
78', Rodrigo 🟨,
80', Jean Lucas ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
86', Sosa I. ↓, Eduardo Sasha ↑,
86', Olivera C. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
90', Erick 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 4.
Bahia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, RB Bragantino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, Bahia is the team to beat.
There will not play in Bahia: David Duarte
(Hamstring Injury)
Everton Ribeiro
(Injury)
Gilberto
(Illness)
Kanu
(Hamstring Injury)
Ruan Pablo
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fabricio
(Inactive)
Juninho Capixaba
(Yellow Cards)
Lucas Barbosa
(Yellow Cards)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Inactive)
Vanderlan
(Inactive)
There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Gabriel
(Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2.3:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Bahia
29
12
10
7
43:36
7
46
11
Bragantino
29
10
7
12
34:33
1
37
Last Results with these Odds
Bahia - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 53.38%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
Ecuador
Watch
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Ronaldo Strada (G) 
Nicolas Acevedo 
Ramos S. 
Pitta I. 
Hurtado A. 
Mosquera H. 
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