Match Info

WALES: CYMRU PREMIER - ROUND 15

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Bala Town		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	6
	1.47	4	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.92	6.01
	1.56	3.92	6.01
	1.44	3.9	6.5
	1.49	4.05	6.1
	1.5	3.95	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)	3.93 ↑ (3.84)	6.22 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bala Town
61.7%

Draw
23.5%

Pontypridd United
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.1%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

23.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bala Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Bala Town - Pontypridd United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Absalom K. (G) 8. Burke N. 20. Edwards A. 24. Harrison K. 22. Mendes P. 9. Newell G. 4. Peate N. 29. Shannon O. 11. Smith K. (C) 7. Wall L. 23. White R.	31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 2. Cummings L. 4. Davies K. 29. Green C. (C) 35. Karadogan J. 12. Maertins J. 5. Margetson B. 8. Shephard C. 3. Vaughan E. 7. Williams D. 16. Wright J.
Substitutes
28. Arsan N. 19. Knight T. 6. Lingouba C. 10. Malkin J. 5. Roberts I. 17. Rogers R. 14. Ukek J.	17. Hunt J. 18. Hurford C. 6. Knott J. 1. Morris A. (G) 22. Pritchard O.
Coaches
Caton C.	Stokes A.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bala Town won 3.

Bala Town is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Pontypridd is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Pontypridd have a series of home games.

In this match Bala Town is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bala Town won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bala Town won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
28.10.23	The New Saints - Bala Town	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Bala Town - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Gap Connahs Quay - Bala Town	1:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
13.10.23	Bala Town - Llandudno	3:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.10.23	Bala Town - Colwyn Bay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTWW
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru Premier
28.10.23	Pontypridd United - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:3 ✺
21.10.23	Pontypridd United - Gap Connahs Quay	0:3 ✺
17.10.23	Barry Town United - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
13.10.23	Pontypridd United - Abertillery Bluebirds	6:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.10.23	Pontypridd United - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
16.09.23	Pontypridd United - Bala Town	0:0
Welsh FA Cup
14.01.23	Bala Town - Pontypridd United	2:1
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.01.23	Bala Town - Pontypridd United	3:0
03.01.23	Pontypridd United - Bala Town	2:1
Welsh FA Cup
25.09.21	Bala Town - Pontypridd United	5:0

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