Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 2

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Essity Stadium (Flint)

Referee: Jones A. (Wal)


	Gap Connahs Quay		Bala Town

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.8
	1.58	3.85	5.15
	1.56	3.96	6.16
	1.70	3.20	5.90	Watch
	1.62	3.75	5
	1.59	3.84	5.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.16)	3.73 ↑ (3.47)	5.37 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gap Connahs Quay
57.9%

Draw
24.8%

Bala Town
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gap Connahs Quay's performance.

Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bala Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	8.7%	13%

Gap Connahs Quay - Bala Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Connahs Quay will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Bala Town will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Connahs Quay: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Bala Town (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gap Connahs Quay will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Connahs Quay (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Bala Town (votes: 3 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Margetson K. (G) 11. Bratley C. 26. Cook J. 14. Edwards N. 12. Franklin H. 21. Fregapane M. 17. Hughes R. 10. Ismail Z. 7. Kenny J. 3. Marriott Ch. (C) 5. Nash B.	1. Torrance J. (G) 5. Bell W. 8. Burke N. (C) 44. Dean H. 3. Hall L. 17. Ibrahim O. 6. McGiveron D. 99. Mehasseb H. 10. Owen J. 9. Tarasenko J. 23. White R.
Substitutes
35. Berry R. (G) 20. Cowan D. 6. Edwards K. 9. Oswell J. 4. Roberts D. 37. Waterhouse J. 8. West C.	27. Billington S. 11. Higgins L. 14. Lumeka L. 22. Nicholas R. 29. Smith E. 20. Tierney A. 16. Walls J.
Coaches
Disney J.	Fisher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
58', 0 - 1, Mehasseb H. ⚽,
59', Franklin H. ↓, Oswell J. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Tarasenko J. ⚽,
64', 0 - 3, Mehasseb H. ⚽,
68', Cook J. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
68', Fregapane M. ↓, Roberts D. ↑,
68', Hughes R. ↓, West C. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Roberts D. ⚽,
79', Tarasenko J. ↓, Billington S. ↑,
81', Mehasseb H. 🟨,
82', Edwards K. 🟨,
86', Mehasseb H. ↓, Higgins L. ↑,
90+5', Ibrahim O. ↓, Smith E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 1.

Recent performances by Connahs Quay have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Recently, Connahs Quay has had a series of away games.

In this match, Connahs Quay is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier
30.08.25	Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Flint Town United	3:2 ✺
22.08.25	The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay	3:0 ✺
10.08.25	Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay	1:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
01.08.25	Ruthin Town - Gap Connahs Quay	0:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLTW
- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
30.08.25	Llanelli - Bala Town	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Caernarfon Town - Bala Town	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Bala Town - Colwyn Bay	1:0 ✺
08.08.25	Bala Town - Flint Town United	1:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Guilsfield - Bala Town	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
17.01.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Bala Town	0:2
15.10.24	Bala Town - Gap Connahs Quay	0:0
12.04.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Bala Town	0:0
Welsh FA Cup
23.03.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Bala Town	1:0
Welsh Cymru Premier
01.03.24	Bala Town - Gap Connahs Quay	1:0
18.10.23	Gap Connahs Quay - Bala Town	1:1
25.08.23	Bala Town - Gap Connahs Quay	1:0

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