The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pontypridd United 30.7%
Draw 29.3%
Haverfordwest County 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
27.7%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
26.9%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontypridd United's form might have worsened.
Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haverfordwest County's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontypridd United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haverfordwest County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pontypridd United - Haverfordwest County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morris A. (G) 9. Ahmun B. 27. Bevan R. 2. Cummings L. 4. Davies K. 29. Green C. (C) 35. Karadogan J. 10. Lewis K. 5. Margetson B. 22. Pritchard O. 3. Vaughan E.
1. Jones Z. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 20. Borg O. 9. Fawcett B. 15. Jenkins L. 28. Shephard C. 25. Tabone L. 11. Taylor-Crossdale M. 7. Watts R. (C) 8. Whitmore K. 22. Wilson J.
Substitutes
21. Carty D. 11. Gullick L. 20. Jones O. 6. Knott J. 26. Lewis A. 38. Stephens J. 19. Young O.
16. Carroll D. 17. Dyer R. 24. Humphreys I. 14. John H. 12. Knott I. (G) 54. Owen J. 51. Picton F.
Coaches
Allen G.
Pennock T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Vaughan E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Karadogan J. ↓, Jones O. ↑,
47', Watts R. 🟨,
57', Wilson J. ↓, Humphreys I. ↑,
65', Watts R. ↓, Dyer R. ↑,
84', Shephard C. 🟨,
85', Margetson B. 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Abbruzzese R. (Pen),
90', Taylor-Crossdale M. ↓, Carroll D. ↑,
90', Bevan R. ↓, Gullick L. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontypridd won 2.
Pontypridd is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Haverfordwest is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Pontypridd won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Pontypridd won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.
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Morris A. (G) 
Pritchard O. 
Jones Z. (G) 
Tabone L. 
Wilson J. 
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