Match Info

WALES: CYMRU PREMIER - ROUND 13

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Pontypridd United		Gap Connahs Quay

	1	X	2
	6	4.1	1.43
	7.5	4.33	1.4	Watch
	7.42	4.51	1.42
	7.55	4.54	1.42
	6.5	4.33	1.4
	6.65	4.5	1.41
	6.4	4.4	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.86 ↑ (4.5)	4.39 ↑ (3.94)	1.42 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pontypridd United
13.5%

Draw
21.1%

Gap Connahs Quay
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

23.1%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

22.6%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontypridd United's form might have worsened.

Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gap Connahs Quay's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontypridd United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Pontypridd United - Gap Connahs Quay Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pontypridd will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Connahs Quay will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 4. Davies K. 17. Hunt J. 30. Hutson C. 6. Knott J. 10. Lewis K. 22. Pritchard O. 14. Rees K. 8. Shephard C. 3. Vaughan E. 16. Wright J. (C)	13. Firth A. (G) 10. Davies J. 2. Disney J. (C) 14. Edwards N. 12. Franklin H. 4. Harrington R. 8. Morris C. 16. Nash B. 22. Poole D. 3. Roberts D. 6. Stratulis R.
Substitutes
28. Coleman L. 2. Cummings L. 29. Green C. 35. Karadogan J. 5. Margetson B. 1. Morris A. (G) 19. Young O.	27. Burman J. 47. Gregson L. 20. Rushton J. (G) 40. Sumner N. 32. Waters M. 28. Williams J.
Coaches
Stokes A.	Gibson N.

Preview

Recent matches Pontypridd is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gap Connahs Quay is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pontypridd could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gap Connahs Quay have a series of home games.

In this match Gap Connahs Quay is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pontypridd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontypridd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru Premier
17.10.23	Barry Town United - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
13.10.23	Pontypridd United - Abertillery Bluebirds	6:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.10.23	Pontypridd United - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	The New Saints - Pontypridd United	4:0 ✺
26.09.23	Pontypridd United - Newtown	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLL
- Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.10.23	Gap Connahs Quay - Bala Town	1:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
14.10.23	Gap Connahs Quay - Caernarfon Town	4:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
06.10.23	Aberystwyth Town - Gap Connahs Quay	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont	4:2 ✺
26.09.23	Gap Connahs Quay - Colwyn Bay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
06.11.22	Pontypridd United - Gap Connahs Quay	0:5
24.09.22	Gap Connahs Quay - Pontypridd United	1:0

Upcoming Matches