Match Info

WALES: CYMRU PREMIER - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 23

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Jenner Park (Barry)

Referee: Livesey A. D. (Eng)


	Barry Town United		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.04	3.4	3.11
	2.06	3.44	3.48
	2	3.5	3
	2	3.55	3.37
	2.07	3.45	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.27)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)	3.2 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barry Town United
44.9%

Draw
26.6%

Pontypridd United
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.6%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.3%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Rees L. (G) 17. Blythe B. 20. Davies R. 2. George M. 22. Hulbert O. 16. Lewis A. 33. Press E. (C) 5. Sainty C. 9. Snaith S. 28. Tomlinson L. 14. Veale J.	31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 9. Ahmun B. 27. Bevan R. 4. Davies K. 29. Green C. (C) 20. Jones O. 6. Knott J. 5. Margetson B. 22. Pritchard O. 3. Vaughan E. 16. Wright J.
Substitutes
38. Huggins C. 3. Hugh C. 31. Lucas L. 7. McLaggon K. 4. Patten K. 24. Richards W. 35. Tucker H.	28. Coleman L. 11. Gullick L. 32. Hancock K. 26. Lewis A. 12. Maertins J. 1. Morris A. (G) 38. Stephens J. 19. Young O.
Coaches
Jenkins S.	Stokes A.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Pontypridd have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barry Town won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Barry Town won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barry Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier
13.01.24	Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United	2:4 ✺
06.01.24	Barry Town United - Newtown	4:0 ✺
30.12.23	Barry Town United - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United	2:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.12.23	Colwyn Bay - Barry Town United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTLL
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru Premier
13.01.24	Colwyn Bay - Pontypridd United	2:3 ✺
31.12.23	Pen-y-Bont - Pontypridd United	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	Pontypridd United - Aberystwyth Town	2:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
19.12.23	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pontypridd United	1:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
16.12.23	Gap Connahs Quay - Pontypridd United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
17.10.23	Barry Town United - Pontypridd United	2:0
02.09.23	Pontypridd United - Barry Town United	1:0
Welsh League Cup
26.10.21	Barry Town United - Pontypridd United	7:1

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