Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Maes Tegid (Bala)

Referee: Jones A. (Wal)


	Bala Town		The New Saints

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.6	5.5	1.25
	10.5	5.88	1.25
	16.61	8.78	1.12	Watch
	10	5.45	1.25
	7.6	5	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.86 ↑ (8.65)	6.12 ↑ (4.8)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bala Town
8.6%

Draw
15.3%

The New Saints
76%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

19.1%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.9%

17.8%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting The New Saints's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Bala Town - The New Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bala Town will win (votes: 1 - 20%). TNS will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torrance J. (G) 5. Bell W. 8. Burke N. (C) 4. Digbeu N. 3. Hall L. 11. Higgins L. 17. Ibrahim O. 6. McGiveron D. 99. Mehasseb H. 7. Mendes L. 23. White R.	1. Shepperd N. (G) 6. Bodenham J. 8. Brobbel R. 4. Corness D. 22. Davies D. 16. McGahey H. 10. Redmond D. (C) 14. Williams D. 17. Williams J. 77. Wilson A. 28. Wilson B.
Substitutes
77. Beck L. 27. Billington S. 44. Dean H. 79. Kovachev K. 14. Lumeka L. 9. Tarasenko J. 16. Walls J.	5. Astles R. 9. Charles K. 19. Clark B. 3. Marshall J. 36. Morris J. 24. Nadin J. 38. Owen B. (G)
Coaches
Fisher S.	Harrison C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Brobbel R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, Bodenham J. ⚽,
58', Mehasseb H. ↓, Tarasenko J. ↑,
63', Wilson B. ↓, Charles K. ↑,
63', Corness D. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
67', Higgins L. ↓, Lumeka L. ↑,
75', Wilson A. ↓, Marshall J. ↑,
79', Burke N. ↓, Billington S. ↑,
81', Brobbel R. ↓, Nadin J. ↑,
90', Hall L. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 2.

Bala Town has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

TNS is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, TNS is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:50. (average 0.7:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bala Town won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.4:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.09.25	Colwyn Bay - Bala Town	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Bala Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Barry Town United - Bala Town	4:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Newtown - Bala Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
06.09.25	Bala Town - Pen-y-Bont	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLLT
- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.09.25	The New Saints - Flint Town United	4:2 ✺
19.09.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	The New Saints - Llanelli	6:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints	1:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
06.09.25	The New Saints - Haverfordwest County	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
11.04.25	The New Saints - Bala Town	2:1
21.02.25	Bala Town - The New Saints	0:2
04.12.24	Bala Town - The New Saints	1:0
Welsh League Cup
13.11.24	The New Saints - Bala Town	3:1
Welsh Cymru Premier
24.09.24	The New Saints - Bala Town	2:3
09.04.24	The New Saints - Bala Town	4:1
09.02.24	Bala Town - The New Saints	0:1

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