Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 9

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Llanelian Road (Old Colwyn)

Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)


	Colwyn Bay		Bala Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.75
	1.63	3.81	5.27
	1.59	3.54	6.27	Watch
	1.71	3.59	4.87
	1.83	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	4.98 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colwyn Bay
55.5%

Draw
25.7%

Bala Town
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.5%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

24.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colwyn Bay's performance.

Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bala Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Colwyn Bay - Bala Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Colwyn Bay will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bala Town will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Colwyn Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Colwyn Bay (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Colwyn Bay (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Brown A. (G) 7. Cumming J. 9. Davies J. 23. Edwards A. 6. Forde S. 3. Hart S. (C) 24. Hughes G. 25. Kargbo U. 4. Peate N. 10. Robles L. 5. Sirrell L.	1. Torrance J. (G) 5. Bell W. 8. Burke N. (C) 4. Digbeu N. 3. Hall L. 17. Ibrahim O. 6. McGiveron D. 99. Mehasseb H. 7. Mendes L. 28. Roberts C. 23. White R.
Substitutes
26. Davies O. 22. Kargbo I. 27. McGoona M. 41. Murphy L. (G) 11. Roberts E. 14. Williams A. 20. Williams A.	77. Beck L. 27. Billington S. 11. Higgins L. 14. Lumeka L. 22. Nicholas R. 29. Smith E. 9. Tarasenko J.
Coaches
Wilde M.	Fisher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Roberts C. ↓, Tarasenko J. ↑,
42', 0 - 1, Mehasseb H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
75', Hart S. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
76', Hughes G. ↓, Roberts E. ↑,
76', Kargbo U. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
88', Robles L. 🟨,
89', Ibrahim O. ↓, Billington S. ↑,
90+1', Robles L. ↓, Davies O. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ))

Colwyn Bay is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bala Town's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Colwyn Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Colwyn Bay is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Colwyn Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru Premier
20.09.25	Llanelli - Colwyn Bay	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Colwyn Bay - Haverfordwest County	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Colwyn Bay	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	Colwyn Bay - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Colwyn Bay - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TWWTT
- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
19.09.25	Bala Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Barry Town United - Bala Town	4:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Newtown - Bala Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
06.09.25	Bala Town - Pen-y-Bont	0:0 ✺
02.09.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Bala Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
22.08.25	Bala Town - Colwyn Bay	1:0
Club Friendly
05.07.24	Colwyn Bay - Bala Town	2:0
Welsh Cymru Premier
26.12.23	Colwyn Bay - Bala Town	2:3
07.10.23	Bala Town - Colwyn Bay	2:1

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