Match Info

MALTA: FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Infetti Ground (Birkirkara)


	Birkirkara		Balzan

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.5	3.5
	1.83	3.65	3.6
	1.84	3.77	3.59	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.5
	1.87	3.4	3.71
	1.83	3.65	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.71)	3.6 ↓ (3.73)	3.58 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birkirkara
49.5%

Draw
25.2%

Balzan
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

24.4%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.9%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birkirkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Birkirkara - Balzan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Sandona A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Busuttil J. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Satariano A. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Birkirkara won 2.

Recent matches Birkirkara is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Balzan is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Birkirkara have a series of home games.

In this match Birkirkara is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Birkirkara won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37:32 (average 1.9:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Birkirkara won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21:18 (average 2.1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birkirkara FC
Maltese Premier League
06.01.25	Birkirkara - Balzan	5:2 ✺
21.12.24	Birkirkara - Floriana	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians	0:2 ✺
07.12.24	Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
29.11.24	Birkirkara - Mosta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLTW
- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
06.01.25	Birkirkara - Balzan	5:2 ✺
22.12.24	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Gżira United - Balzan	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Melita - Balzan	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Balzan - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
06.01.25	Birkirkara - Balzan	5:2
16.08.24	Balzan - Birkirkara	3:3
02.03.24	Birkirkara - Balzan	1:1
29.10.23	Balzan - Birkirkara	0:3
21.04.23	Balzan - Birkirkara	2:1
Maltese FA Trophy
15.02.23	Balzan - Birkirkara	2:3 penalties
Maltese Premier League
10.12.22	Birkirkara - Balzan	2:1

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