Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Play Out - Round 15

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Referee: Portelli D. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Żabbar St. Patrick		Naxxar Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.35	Watch
	1.93	3.52	3.53	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.94	3.38	3.45
	1.87	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.06)	3.3 ↓ (3.69)	3.47 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żabbar St. Patrick
46.7%

Draw
27.3%

Naxxar Lions
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

24.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żabbar St. Patrick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Żabbar St. Patrick - Naxxar Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Żabbar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Żabbar St. Patrick will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colombo I. (G) 11. Agius N. 9. Cejas P. 89. Fontanella M. 21. Jovancic S. 22. Leonardi Z. 16. Micallef J. 71. Pisani J. 55. Scicluna K. 30. Scicluna R. 28. Vinicius Paiva	1. Debono M. (G) 10. Farias E. (C) 7. Fenech M. 9. Fourmy C. 5. Gustavo Felipe 33. Joao Moura 3. JP Iseppe 21. Micallef M. 19. Rosiel 24. Vinicius Baiano 11. Vitinho
Substitutes
3. Bonnici M. 26. Carabott S. 17. Dalli C. 99. Djalo M. (G) 77. Etim A. 24. Eviparker T. 10. Gambarte B. 91. Grech J. (G) 15. Im Y. W. 20. Micallef L. 23. Polidano Z.	23. Agius D. 18. Bolanos E. 28. Bonanno G. 17. Bugeja F. 44. Genovese L. 31. Hudson M. 22. Kontchou C. 25. Portelli O. 4. Theo Kruger 99. Vella A. (G) 26. Vella T.
Coaches
Parisi A.	Muscat W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Vinicius Paiva 🟨,
18', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Etim A. ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Fourmy C. ⚽,
39', Jovancic S. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Vinicius Baiano ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 🟨,
52', 1 - 2, Fontanella M. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 🟨,
74', Gustavo Felipe ↓, Theo Kruger ↑,
75', Agius N. ↓, Gambarte B. ↑,
85', Scicluna R. ↓, Micallef L. ↑,
88', JP Iseppe ↓, Kontchou C. ↑,
90+4', Joao Moura ↓, Bolanos E. ↑,

Preview

Żabbar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Żabbar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Żabbar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Zabbar	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5

Last Results with these Odds

Naxxar Lions - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.38%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese Premier League
18.12.25	Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:3 ✺
12.12.25	Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
24.11.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Valletta - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Marsaxlokk - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTWL
- Naxxar Lions
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Marsa - Naxxar Lions	0:3 ✺
Maltese Premier League
19.12.25	Mosta - Naxxar Lions	2:3 ✺
11.12.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
13.09.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Naxxar Lions	1:1
05.04.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Naxxar Lions	2:0
01.03.25	Naxxar Lions - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1
08.12.24	Naxxar Lions - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:3
22.09.24	Żabbar St. Patrick - Naxxar Lions	3:3

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