Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Santa Lucia (Santa Lucia)


	Santa Lucia		Paola Hibernians

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.77
	3.75	3.5	1.83	Watch
	3.78	3.14	1.76
	4.52	3.57	1.75
	4	3.5	1.7
	4.11	3.55	1.75
	4.1	3.35	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.84)	3.43 ↓ (3.46)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Lucia
22.5%

Draw
26.3%

Paola Hibernians
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.3%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

26.9%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Paola Hibernians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Santa Lucia - Paola Hibernians Predictions

Users Predictions: Paola Hibernians will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Celio (G) 15. Bradshaw A. 3. Ellul M. 80. Gomes E. 21. Moracci S. 18. Mrdja A. 33. Patrick 27. Piazza A. 17. Pisani J. (C) 7. Pisani S. 55. Xerri S.	30. Sacco H. (G) 21. Alex Bruno 3. Apap F. 8. Bairam B. 29. Bastianos G. 23. Bonanni C. 6. Caruana L. 10. Degabriele J. (C) 22. Izquier G. 5. Shaw K. 9. Zuzul S.
Substitutes
5. Bonello N. . C. Gabriel 16. Formosa C. (G) 6. Letherby D. 11. Lucas Sena 4. Ogouvide A. 8. Ojo T. 19. Scicluna Z. 29. Valletta J. 1. Vella D. (G) 20. Virano G.	77. Antwi R. 25. Bagayoko M. 14. Bugeja M. . Chetcuti N. 17. Chukunyere I. 1. Debono J. (G) 13. Grech Z. 11. Kristensen B. 16. Okoh S. 20. Radchenko A. 15. Vella O.
Coaches
Zinnari A.	Nisevic B.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Lucia won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hibernians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hibernians have a series of home games.

In this match Hibernians is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Santa Lucia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Premier League
27.01.24	Floriana - Santa Lucia	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Birkirkara - Santa Lucia	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.24	Santa Lucia - Marsa	2:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
06.01.24	Gżira United - Santa Lucia	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Santa Lucia - Hamrun Spartans	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 LWWWL
- Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League
28.01.24	Paola Hibernians - Gżira United	3:2 ✺
20.01.24	Paola Hibernians - Hamrun Spartans	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
14.01.24	Paola Hibernians - Qala Saints	2:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
07.01.24	Marsaxlokk - Paola Hibernians	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Paola Hibernians - Mosta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
23.09.23	Paola Hibernians - Santa Lucia	3:2
19.02.23	Paola Hibernians - Santa Lucia	3:2
16.10.22	Santa Lucia - Paola Hibernians	2:3
29.01.22	Santa Lucia - Paola Hibernians	0:0
25.09.21	Paola Hibernians - Santa Lucia	1:1
05.12.20	Santa Lucia - Paola Hibernians	0:3
28.10.19	Santa Lucia - Paola Hibernians	0:2

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