Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Independence Ground (Floriana)


	Floriana		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.8	9
	1.25	5	10	Watch
	1.26	4.75	8.4
	1.34	5.16	7.85
	1.25	4.6	9
	1.27	4.85	9.65
	1.28	4.8	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.44)	4.85 ↑ (4)	9.01 ↑ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floriana
71.2%

Draw
18.7%

Santa Lucia
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

22.8%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

21.7%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Floriana's performance.

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kitanov G. (G) 10. Arias U. 4. El Hasni O. (C) 20. Garcia M. 55. Kouros A. 21. Lonardelli C. 11. Matheus 17. Spiteri O. 12. Vella D. 7. Veselji M. 42. Volodko M.	12. Celio (G) 3. Ellul M. 80. Gomes E. 21. Moracci S. 18. Mrdja A. 8. Ojo T. 33. Patrick 17. Pisani J. (C) 7. Pisani S. 20. Virano G. 55. Xerri S.
Substitutes
99. Andrijanic N. (G) 24. De Grazia L. 94. Furtado W. 77. Garzia A. 8. Grech J. 14. Micallef E. 1. Mintoff S. (G) 22. Nwoko K. 2. Overend A. 9. Reid K. 15. Vella T.	5. Bonello N. 15. Bradshaw A. 16. Formosa C. (G) 22. Hulk 6. Letherby D. 11. Lucas Sena 10. Nagamatsu T. 27. Piazza A. 19. Scicluna Z. 29. Valletta J. 1. Vella D. (G)
Coaches
Camoranesi M.	Zinnari A.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Floriana won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Santa Lucia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Floriana is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Floriana won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Floriana won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floriana FC
Maltese Premier League
21.01.24	Floriana - Gżira United	0:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
13.01.24	Floriana - Naxxar Lions	2:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
06.01.24	Hamrun Spartans - Floriana	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	3:2 ✺
09.12.23	Mosta - Floriana	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Premier League
21.01.24	Birkirkara - Santa Lucia	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.24	Santa Lucia - Marsa	2:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
06.01.24	Gżira United - Santa Lucia	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Santa Lucia - Hamrun Spartans	1:3 ✺
10.12.23	Marsaxlokk - Santa Lucia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
17.09.23	Santa Lucia - Floriana	0:4
02.04.23	Santa Lucia - Floriana	0:2
Maltese FA Trophy
15.01.23	Floriana - Santa Lucia	0:1
Maltese Premier League
05.11.22	Floriana - Santa Lucia	1:0
11.12.21	Santa Lucia - Floriana	1:3
14.08.21	Floriana - Santa Lucia	2:2
Maltese FA Trophy
10.02.21	Floriana - Santa Lucia	1:3

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