Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava)

Referee: Radina M. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Baník Ostrava		Sigma Olomouc

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.40	2.45	Watch
	2.45	3.40	2.65
	2.50	3.40	2.65
	2.63	3.67	2.63
	2.36	3.54	2.79	Watch
	2.55	3.55	2.55
	2.62	3.56	2.57	Watch
	2.50	3.40	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.4)	3.49 ↑ (3.48)	2.61 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baník Ostrava
37.2%

Draw
26.8%

Sigma Olomouc
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.4%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Sigma Olomouc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sigma will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sigma (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sigma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Jedlicka M. (C) 44. Skyba Y. 83. Nogha R. 42. Micek J. 99. Sinyavskiy V. 5. Boula J. 21. Kohut M. 95. Holzer D. 28. Kubala F. 15. Jurecka V. 12. Gning A.	91. Koutny J. (G) 2. Sylla A. 33. Maly M. 3. Lurvink L. 70. Ghali A. 88. Barath P. 7. Beran M. 29. Ekeroth A. 39. Janosek D. (C) 10. Sejk V. 24. Tkac D.
Substitutes
34. Bewene A. 1. Budinsky V. (G) 37. Chalus M. 16. Dyachuk M. 7. Gilbert D. 81. Kmet M. 55. Musak A. 18. Planka D. 22. Skrkon V. 8. Traore A.	17. Dembe J. 22. Hadas M. 98. Hruska M. (G) 9. Kliment J. 23. Krivak F. 11. Mikaelsson H. 25. Mikulenka M. 26. Noumbissie S. 6. Sip J. 8. Spacil J.
Coaches
Skuhravy R.	Hapal P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Gning A. ↓, Skrkon V. ↑,
37', Ghali A. 🟨,
40', Kubala F. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Micek J. ⚽, Kubala F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tkac D. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
46', Kohut M. ↓, Bewene A. ↑,
69', Ekeroth A. ↓, Hadas M. ↑,
69', Beran M. ↓, Krivak F. ↑,
71', Holzer D. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
71', Kubala F. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
78', Sejk V. ↓, Mikaelsson H. ↑,
85', Jurecka V. ↓, Gilbert D. ↑,
90+4', Ghali A. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
90+6', Skuhravy R. 🟨,
90+10', Mikaelsson H. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 2.

Recent performances by Baník Ostrava have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sigma is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Baník Ostrava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Frydrych M. (Chest Injury) Latal D. (Suspended)

There will not play in Sigma: Elbel J. (Suspended) Fiala J. (Injury) Kral J. (Shoulder Injury) Mikaelsson H. (Injury) Urica F. (Knee Injury) Yasser M. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Sigma: Huk T. (Health problems) Krivak F. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sigma Olomouc	9	5	1	3	16:13	3	16
12	Ostrava	10	3	1	6	7:18	-11	10

Last Results with these Odds

Baník Ostrava - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.93%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baník Ostrava
Czech Cup
26.08.26	Sparta Brno - Baník Ostrava	0:9 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
16.08.26	Baník Ostrava - Artis Brno	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Hradec Králové - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Baník Ostrava - Slavia Prague	0:4 ✺
25.07.26	Zlín - Baník Ostrava	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLW
- Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga
23.08.26	Sigma Olomouc - Pardubice	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Slovácko - Sigma Olomouc	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Artis Brno - Sigma Olomouc	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Sigma Olomouc - Mladá Boleslav	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
07.02.26	Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc	2:0
31.08.25	Sigma Olomouc - Baník Ostrava	1:0
03.05.25	Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc	0:0
Czech Cup
22.04.25	Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc	2:3
Czech 1 Liga
09.02.25	Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc	1:0
01.09.24	Sigma Olomouc - Baník Ostrava	2:2
09.03.24	Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc	1:2

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