Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 39

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday


	Banbury United		Boston United

	1	X	2
	9.75	5.75	1.21
	12	6	1.2
	13.41	6.2	1.22
	13.41	6.2	1.2
	9.5	5	1.25
	11.8	6.16	1.18
	10	5.8	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.41 ↑ (3.2)	5.87 ↑ (3.5)	1.21 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banbury United
8.1%

Draw
15.7%

Boston United
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

26.5%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

25.6%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banbury United's form might have worsened.

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boston United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banbury United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-30%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boston United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Banbury United - Boston United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Banbury will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Boston United will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Hill D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Banbury has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Boston United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boston United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Boston United is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Boston United to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Banbury won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Banbury won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Last Results with these Odds

Banbury United - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.96%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banbury United
English National League North
13.04.24	Chorley - Banbury United	3:0 ✺
11.04.24	Spennymoor Town - Banbury United	5:2 ✺
06.04.24	Banbury United - King`s Lynn Town	1:1 ✺
03.04.24	Banbury United - Hereford	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Bishops Stortford - Banbury United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- Boston United
English National League North
13.04.24	Boston United - Scarborough Athletic	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Boston United - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Rushall Olympic - Boston United	1:0 ✺
29.03.24	Boston United - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Chorley - Boston United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
24.10.23	Boston United - Banbury United	1:2
13.12.22	Boston United - Banbury United	0:1
16.08.22	Banbury United - Boston United	0:0

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