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Current Win Probability
Boston United 44.1%
Draw 27%
Brackley Town 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
26.6%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
25.5%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Boston United - Brackley Town Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston United (votes: 1 - 50%). Brackley (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Barrett K. (G) 40. Lavinier M. 23. Crowther A. 26. Gallagher O. 17. Lankshear A. 19. Richards J. 6. Sloggett G. (C) 8. Hill D. 10. Maguire F. 4. Teale C. 14. John-Lewis L. N.
1. Gregory C. (G) 2. Lyttle T. 6. Morrison K. 12. Nottingham M. 11. Lowe M. 23. Byrne S. 8. Brown Z. 15. Pendleton B. 7. Pollock S. 22. Wodskou B. 28. Newton D.
Substitutes
24. Aboh K. 15. Carson M. 11. Donnelly K. 18. Fogarty T. 16. Hiwula J. 1. Lovett R. (G) 25. Waldock L.
3. Calder R. 27. Hall C. 19. Lilly Z. 21. Maxted J. (G) 4. Price J. 10. Roberts M. 14. Waldron D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Brown Z. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Gallagher O. ⚽, Maguire F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Brown Z. ⚽,
59', Pollock S. 🟨,
71', Richards J. 🟨,
71', Teale C. ↓, Aboh K. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Wodskou B. ⚽,
80', Hill D. ↓, Donnelly K. ↑,
84', Wodskou B. ↓, Roberts M. ↑,
84', Brown Z. ↓, Price J. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90', Byrne S. 🟨,
90+2', Pollock S. ↓, Lilly Z. ↑,
90+4', Maxted J. 🟨,
90+5', Gallagher O. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 17 and 19)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston United won 2.
Recent form of Boston United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Brackley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Boston United has had a series of away games.
Boston United will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston United won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Boston United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Boston United - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.75%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.