Match Info

1. Lig - Round 32

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Bandirma 17 Eylül Stadyumu (Bandırma)

Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Bandırmaspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.25	Watch
	2.87	3.2	2.15
	3.1	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.19	3.05	2.36	Watch
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.16	3.04	2.29
	3.1	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (3.01)	3.1 ↓ (3.11)	2.29 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bandırmaspor
30%

Draw
29.8%

Kocaelispor
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.7%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

29.8%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bandırmaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Bandırmaspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Alkan A. (G) 77. Berisbek R. 23. Mexer 33. Nukan A. 99. Genc F. C. 61. Akpinar M. 6. Ciftci H. 11. Kaya I. 29. Paixao M. 45. Messaoudi B. 9. Diony L.	35. Degirmenci G. (C) 22. Oguz A. 5. Appindangoye A. 88. Osmanpasa C. 3. Cinan M. 4. Vukovic J. 72. Rivas R. 6. Pedrinho 23. Yalcin S. 20. Mendes R. 10. Marcao
Substitutes
10. Avci K. 22. Bilgic H. 4. Dilek Y. 1. Gorgen Z. (G) 24. Komur E. 8. Louzif M. 17. Ndongala D. 41. Ozcan M. 7. Paulinho 35. Picinciol S.	70. Alici B. 17. Caglayan O. 8. Celik C. 19. Gedik E. 18. Gedik F. 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 34. Sen B. (G) 15. Serbest T. 45. Tunali M.
Coaches
Gursel M.	Tasdemir I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Mendes R. ⚽,
60', Akpinar M. ↓, Ozcan M. ↑,
60', Kaya I. ↓, Ndongala D. ↑,
63', Mexer 🟨,
65', Marcao ↓, Caglayan O. ↑,
70', Genc F. C. ↓, Picinciol S. ↑,
78', Picinciol S. 🟨,
79', 0 - 2, Caglayan O. ⚽,
81', Yalcin S. ↓, Celik C. ↑,
81', Vukovic J. ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
81', Diony L. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
81', Berisbek R. ↓, Avci K. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Paixao M. ⚽, Paulinho (A),
85', Paulinho 🟨,
90+1', Rivas R. ↓, Tunali M. ↑,
90+1', Pedrinho ↓, Oztonga O. ↑,
90+4', Oztonga O. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Paulinho ⚽, Ciftci H. (A),
90+5', Nukan A. 🟨,
90+8', Degirmenci G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bandırmaspor won 1.

Bandırmaspor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Kocaelispor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kocaelispor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kocaelispor will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Aycicek L. (Knee Injury) Komur E. (Knee Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bandırmaspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1.3:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Bandırmaspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
28.03.25	Boluspor - Bandırmaspor	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Bandırmaspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Sakaryaspor - Bandırmaspor	2:2 ✺
05.03.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bandırmaspor	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWTWW
- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
31.03.25	Kocaelispor - Sakaryaspor	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
10.03.25	Kocaelispor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
06.03.25	Umraniyespor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
03.03.25	Kocaelispor - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
24.11.24	Kocaelispor - Bandırmaspor	2:2
28.04.24	Kocaelispor - Bandırmaspor	3:1
09.12.23	Bandırmaspor - Kocaelispor	0:3
16.04.22	Kocaelispor - Bandırmaspor	2:1
21.11.21	Bandırmaspor - Kocaelispor	1:0
Club Friendly
02.01.20	Bandırmaspor - Kocaelispor	3:3

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