Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 13

Date: 9 June 2024, Sunday


	Banga Gargždai 2		Minija Kretinga

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.93
	3.5	3.5	1.9
	3.21	3.35	2.02
	3.21	3.27	2.01
	3.36	3.4	1.98
	3.4	3.45	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.66)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banga Gargždai 2
27.3%

Draw
26.6%

Minija Kretinga
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

28%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

27.2%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banga Gargždai 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Minija Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai 2 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Banga Gargždai 2 - Minija Kretinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 57. Ambrazaitis M. 17. Andrejev M. 77. Balasanov A. 44. Galbuogis G. 86. Kasperavicius P. 14. Kirjanov E. 21. Pliuskys K. (C) 81. Praleika S. 87. Simkus N. 25. Skruibys M.	1. Bielov R. (G) 25. Diawara B. 45. Gedutis M. 21. Kazlauskas V. 15. Leao De Miranda N. 6. Martins G. 5. Mockus E. (C) 16. Okende P. 8. Pipiras D. 7. Siusa D. 12. Yoshida K.
Substitutes
35. Bertasius M. 29. Griksas J. 53. Juozapavicius J. 80. Juska B. 45. Laugalys R. 43. Statkus A. 27. Straksys A. 54. Urbonas N. (G)	17. Baltmiskis K. 9. Drasutis E. 3. Galdikas S. 20. Glugovskis L. 19. Keblys M. 10. Mazgeika M. 22. Pipiras A. (G) 11. Putvinas A. 14. Sabitu T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Balasanov A. 🟨,
42', Gedutis M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', Martins G. ↓, Glugovskis L. ↑,
59', Yoshida K. ↓, Sabitu T. ↑,
67', Mockus E. 🟨,
68', Skruibys M. ↓, Juska B. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Okende P. (Pen),
80', 0 - 2, Okende P. ⚽,
85', Gedutis M. ↓, Mazgeika M. ↑,
86', Praleika S. ↓, Juozapavicius J. ↑,
87', Ambrazaitis M. ↓, Griksas J. ↑,
90+3', Kazlauskas V. ↓, Galdikas S. ↑,
90+3', Okende P. ↓, Baltmiskis K. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Minija will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Banga 2 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Banga 2 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banga Gargždai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
31.05.24	Garliava - Banga Gargždai 2	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Ekranas	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	BFA Vilnius - Banga Gargždai 2	2:2 ✺
13.05.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - FA Šiauliai B	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTTLL
- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Division 2
01.06.24	Minija Kretinga - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:2 ✺
25.05.24	Riteriai - Minija Kretinga	2:2 ✺
18.05.24	Minija Kretinga - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga	1:1 ✺
03.05.24	Minija Kretinga - Neptūnas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.02.23	Banga Gargždai 2 - Minija Kretinga	2:0
Lithuanian Division 2
12.11.22	Minija Kretinga - Banga Gargždai 2	1:0
06.07.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - Minija Kretinga	2:1
24.10.21	Minija Kretinga - Banga Gargždai 2	4:2
03.07.21	Banga Gargždai 2 - Minija Kretinga	2:2

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