Match Info

WALES: Cymru Premier - Round 20

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)

Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)


	Aberystwyth Town		Bala Town

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.46
	6	4.1	1.49
	6	4.2	1.52
	6.18	3.93	1.54	Watch
	6	4	1.5
	6.1	4.05	1.49
	6	4.1	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6 ↑ (5.89)	4.05 ↓ (4.15)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
15.4%

Draw
22.8%

Bala Town
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

22.3%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

21.8%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Aberystwyth Town aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Aberystwyth Town - Bala Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jones D. (G) 4. Bradford L. 16. Davies B. 5. Ealing F. 7. Evans J. 9. Flint N. 11. Hartley Z. 17. Huxley C. 27. Patterson R. 6. Thorn J. (C) 2. Walsh L.	1. Torrance J. (G) 12. Abadaki O. 29. Clarke E. 6. Edwards A. 24. Harrison K. 19. Lloyd K. 10. Malkin J. 7. Mendes L. 4. Peate N. (C) 18. Robles L. 23. White R.
Substitutes
22. Dafis G. 28. Darlington A. 14. Davies S. 12. Mason T. 21. Osment S. (G) 10. Owen J.	17. Badjana S. 77. Beck L. 8. Burke N. 16. Hughes T. 99. Mehasseb H. 9. Newell G.
Coaches
Corbisiero A.	Caton C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Clarke E. 🟨,
37', Flint N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Lloyd K. 🟨,
68', Huxley C. ↓, Owen J. ↑,
84', Clarke E. ↓, Mehasseb H. ↑,
84', Ealing F. 🟨,
90', Malkin J. ↓, Newell G. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

Aberystwyth is Cymru Premier (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aberystwyth won 1.

Recent matches Aberystwyth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bala Town is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aberystwyth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bala Town is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Aberystwyth won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 23:47 (average 1.2:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Aberystwyth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13:23 (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.12.24	Aberystwyth Town - Caernarfon Town	3:1 ✺
04.12.24	Flint Town United - Aberystwyth Town	3:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
30.11.24	Aberystwyth Town - Cardiff City U21	2:1 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.11.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Aberystwyth Town	3:0 ✺
08.11.24	Aberystwyth Town - Newtown	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WLWLW
- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.12.24	Bala Town - Barry Town United	3:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
14.12.24	Caerau Ely - Bala Town	1:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
04.12.24	Bala Town - The New Saints	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Haverfordwest County - Bala Town	0:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.11.24	Flint Town United - Bala Town	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
13.09.24	Bala Town - Aberystwyth Town	3:0
17.11.23	Aberystwyth Town - Bala Town	2:3
Welsh FA Cup
11.11.23	Aberystwyth Town - Bala Town	0:1
Welsh Cymru Premier
27.09.23	Bala Town - Aberystwyth Town	0:1
04.11.22	Bala Town - Aberystwyth Town	3:0
02.09.22	Aberystwyth Town - Bala Town	1:4
26.02.22	Bala Town - Aberystwyth Town	2:2

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