Match Info

FIFA Intercontinental Cup - Final

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ahmad bin Ali Stadium (Al Rayyan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	DSports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
France	6play, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, M6, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
India	Vision+
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	Live Mod
Qatar	Shoof
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, M6, M6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
World	FIFA+


	Paris Saint-Germain		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.45	4.45
	1.83	3.57	5.09
	1.28	4.88	16.07	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.2
	1.77	3.61	4.8
	1.77	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.69)	3.73 ↓ (3.92)	6.56 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
58.3%

Draw
26.6%

Flamengo
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

26.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flamengo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.7%	1.7%	1.7%

Paris Saint Germain - Flamengo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - PSG (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - PSG (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (57 of 59 users predict this - 96.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.99% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (34 of 34 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 41 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 41 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Safonov M. (G) 33. Zaire-Emery W. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 25. Mendes N. 87. Neves J. 17. Vitinha 8. Ruiz F. 19. Lee Kang-In 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 14. Doue D.	1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 26. Alex Sandro 5. Pulgar E. 21. Jorginho 15. Carrascal J. 10. de Arrascaeta G. 50. Plata G. 27. Bruno Henrique (C)
Substitutes
29. Barcola B. 4. Beraldo L. 30. Chevalier L. (G) 10. Dembele O. 21. Hernandez L. 89. Marin R. (G) 24. Mayulu S. 49. Mbaye I. 47. Ndjantou Q. 9. Ramos G. 6. Zabarnyi I.	6. Ayrton Lucas 13. Danilo 18. de la Cruz N. 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 22. Emerson Royal 11. Everton 52. Evertton Araujo 23. Juninho 7. Luiz Araujo 30. Michael 8. Niguez S. 9. Pedro 16. Samuel Lino 64. Wallace Yan
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Jorginho 🟨,
24', Alex Sandro 🟨,
33', Ruiz F. 🟨,
35', Lee Kang-In ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
38', 1 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽,
44', Vitinha 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Carrascal J. ↓, Pedro ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Jorginho (Penalty Awarded),
64', Pulgar E. 🟨,
64', Mayulu S. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
74', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Everton ↑,
75', Jorginho ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
75', Pulgar E. ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
78', Doue D. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
85', Pacho W. 🟨,
90', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
90+2', Bruno Henrique ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
90+5', Plata G. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
96', Niguez S. 🟨,
105', Ruiz F. ↓, Ndjantou Q. ↑,
108', Plata G. ↓, Samuel Lino ↑,
120', Juninho 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, de la Cruz N. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Vitinha (Penalty Awarded),
2, Niguez S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Dembele O. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Pedro (Penalty Awarded),
3, Mendes N. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Leo Pereira (Penalty Awarded),
4, Barcola B. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Luiz Araujo (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Neutral location - Ahmad bin Ali Stadium.

PSG is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flamengo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, PSG is considered a favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Hakimi A. (International duty) Mbaye I. (International duty)

There will not play in Flamengo: Allan (Heel Injury) Vina M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Flamengo: Douglas Telles (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
13.12.25	Metz - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Athletic Bilbao - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Rennes	5:0 ✺
29.11.25	Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Tottenham Hotspur	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWLW
- Flamengo RJ
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
13.12.25	Flamengo - Pyramids	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Cruz Azul - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.12.25	Mirassol - Flamengo	3:3 ✺
03.12.25	Flamengo - Ceará	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.11.25	Palmeiras - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTWW

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