Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Celta de Vigo B		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.15	3.2	3.2
	2.18	3.42	3.14	Watch
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.14	3.13	3.21
	2.14	3.14	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.97)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	3.13 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
42.4%

Draw
28.6%

Barakaldo
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.3%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

27%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celta de Vigo B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Celta de Vigo B - Barakaldo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta de Vigo B (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 4. Vazquez J. 6. Meixus P. 26. Rodriguez A. 18. Lopez J. 23. Miller G. 8. Antanon A. 5. Burcio H. 10. de la Iglesia D. 35. Perez-Lafuente J. 9. Marin A.	13. Campos G. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 24. Ropero I. 18. Arana M. 16. Lopez O. 15. Jimenez I. 8. Huidobro J. 17. de Leon J. 21. San Bartolome V. 14. Munoz I. 19. Galarza A.
Substitutes
11. Arcos A. 21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 16. Capdevila A. 2. Gavian P. 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 32. Khayat A. 19. Marcos O. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 3. Ribes K. 17. Somuah B.	23. Albizua U. 2. de Jesus B. 3. Garcia B. 26. Huete H. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 20. Mandiang S. 5. Molina E. 10. Sabin 9. Valino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, San Bartolome V. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Arana M. ⚽,
40', de la Iglesia D. ↓, Capdevila A. ↑,
40', Vazquez J. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
41', Lopez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lopez J. ↓, Gavian P. ↑,
68', San Bartolome V. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
68', Huidobro J. ↓, Mandiang S. ↑,
68', de Leon J. ↓, Albizua U. ↑,
69', Perez-Lafuente J. ↓, Somuah B. ↑,
71', 🟨,
73', 1 - 2, Antanon A. ⚽,
85', Miller G. ↓, Marcos O. ↑,
85', Lopez O. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
90+2', Jimenez I. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 12).

Celta de Vigo B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barakaldo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barakaldo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Celta de Vigo B is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Celta de Vigo B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Barakaldo	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.01.26	Cacereño - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Celta de Vigo B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Celta de Vigo B - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Real Avilés - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWLW
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.01.26	Barakaldo - Unionistas de Salamanca	5:0 ✺
21.12.25	Barakaldo - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Ourense CF - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Barakaldo - Real Avilés	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.03.25	Barakaldo - Celta de Vigo B	0:1
25.08.24	Celta de Vigo B - Barakaldo	2:2

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