Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Amorebieta		Unionistas de Salamanca

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.55
	2.55	2.85	2.65
	2.6	3.1	2.7
	2.74	2.94	2.78
	2.65	2.95	2.7
	2.63	2.92	2.72
	2.6	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.58)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	2.69 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
35.2%

Draw
30.7%

Unionistas de Salamanca
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

28%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Amorebieta - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 2. Carbonell A. 5. Amelibia J. (C) 22. Yuste A. 4. Kortazar M. 20. Coto E. 14. Ben Hamed N. 18. Coulibaly A. 7. Selma D. 9. Kaxe 11. Hervias P.	1. Martinez I. (G) 5. Baz I. 4. Mayor R. 3. Garcia C. 21. Verges E. 11. Gomez A. 6. Rabadan D. 16. Gonzalez I. 8. Martinez P. 17. Garcia D. 22. Santamaria G.
Substitutes
15. Aurtenetxe J. 10. Berto 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 8. Guerrero J. 33. Issachi A. 21. Marin A. 1. Marino U. (G) 17. Munoz I. 6. Nakai P.	19. Arriba J. 31. Gomez J. 9. Moreno I. 28. Parra H. G. 23. Pascual A. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G) 14. Tavares R. 30. Witmer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Martinez P. ⚽,
16', Yuste A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
58', Ben Hamed N. ↓, Berto ↑,
58', Coulibaly A. ↓, Nakai P. ↑,
64', Garcia D. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
64', Santamaria G. ↓, Arriba J. ↑,
66', Selma D. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
66', Kaxe ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
71', Hervias P. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Gomez A. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
77', 1 - 2, Munoz I. ⚽,
78', 🟨,
80', 2 - 2, Carbonell A. ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, Arriba J. ⚽,
84', Marino U. 🟨,
88', Yuste A. 🟥,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 3, Kortazar M. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Amorebieta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Unionistas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amorebieta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.10.24	Celta de Vigo B - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
04.10.24	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Zamora - Amorebieta	5:0 ✺
22.09.24	Amorebieta - Ourense CF	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Real Unión de Irun - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWT
- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.10.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Lugo	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Ourense CF - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:2 ✺
28.09.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Celta de Vigo B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Barcelona B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.11.19	Amorebieta - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:3

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