Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Celta de Vigo B		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.5	6.5
	1.47	3.8	5.75
	1.48	3.95	6.6
	1.48	3.98	6.55
	1.47	3.85	6.7	Watch
	1.47	4	6.56
	1.48	3.95	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.73)	3.86 ↑ (3.15)	6.47 ↑ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
62.1%

Draw
23.7%

Amorebieta
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

29%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celta de Vigo B's performance.

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amorebieta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Celta de Vigo B - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vidal Girona M. V. (G) 4. Alonso G. 5. Lago Y. 6. Meixus P. 7. Diez S. 10. de la Iglesia D. 8. Roman M. 3. Tincho 22. Lopez F. 31. Arcos A. 34. Barreiros I.	1. Marino U. (C) 2. Carbonell A. 4. Kortazar M. 22. Yuste A. 5. Amelibia J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 8. Guerrero J. 17. Munoz I. 6. Nakai P. 11. Hervias P. 21. Marin A.
Substitutes
14. Burcio H. 1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 28. Conde M. 9. Escobar J. 25. Fernandez C. G. (G) 21. Fernandez M. 23. Garriel I. 29. Gavian P. 11. Guedes J. 17. Somuah B. 2. Vicente	15. Aurtenetxe J. 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 13. Campos G. (G) 20. Coto E. 18. Coulibaly A. 33. Issachi A. 9. Kaxe 7. Selma D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Lopez F. ⚽, Barreiros I. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Lago Y. (Own goal),
38', Kortazar M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Tincho ⚽, Lopez F. (A),
57', Hervias P. ↓, Bravo Fernandez M. ↑,
58', Nakai P. ↓, Coulibaly A. ↑,
58', Marin A. ↓, Kaxe ↑,
58', Kaxe 🟨,
65', Barreiros I. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
65', Arcos A. ↓, Guedes J. ↑,
70', Munoz I. ↓, Coto E. ↑,
75', de la Iglesia D. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
76', Yuste A. ↓, Selma D. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Escobar J. ⚽,
85', Tincho ↓, Garriel I. ↑,
85', Meixus P. ↓, Burcio H. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Celta de Vigo B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amorebieta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Celta de Vigo B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.10.24	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Celta de Vigo B	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Celta de Vigo B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Osasuna B - Celta de Vigo B	3:1 ✺
07.09.24	Celta de Vigo B - Arenteiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTLT
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.10.24	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Zamora - Amorebieta	5:0 ✺
22.09.24	Amorebieta - Ourense CF	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Real Unión de Irun - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Amorebieta - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWTL

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