Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Golf
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Barcelona		Porto

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7.5
	1.44	4.6	7
	1.43	4.85	7.6	Watch
	1.45	4.84	7.47
	1.46	4.7	7.54
	1.4	4.75	6.5
	1.45	4.75	6.95
	1.46	4.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	4.72 ↑ (4.58)	7.2 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
66.5%

Draw
20.2%

Porto
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.7%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

20.6%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	12.5%	11.2%

Barcelona - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 61 - 76.3%). Porto will win (votes: 9 - 11.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 67% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pena I. (G) 23. Kounde J. 4. Araujo R. (C) 5. Martinez I. 2. Cancelo J. 21. de Jong F. 22. Gundogan I. 8. Pedri 11. Raphinha 9. Lewandowski R. 14. Joao Felix	99. Costa D. (G) 23. Joao Mario 2. Cardoso F. 3. Pepe (C) 12. Zaidu 11. Pepê 22. Varela A. 6. Eustaquio S. 13. Galeno 9. Taremi M. 30. Evanilson
Substitutes
17. Alonso M. 26. Astralaga A. (G) 3. Balde A. 30. Casado M. 15. Christensen A. 31. Kochen D. (G) 32. Lopez F. 20. Roberto S. 18. Romeu O. 7. Torres F. 27. Yamal L.	28. Baro R. 70. Borges G. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 10. Conceicao F. 19. Danny Namaso 20. Franco A. 8. Grujic M. 17. Ivan Jaime 29. Martinez T. 21. Navarro F. 16. Nico 15. Sanchez J.
Coaches
Xavi	Conceicao S.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estadio Olímpico.

Recent matches Barcelona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Porto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barcelona is certain favorite.

There will not play in Barcelona: Gavi (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Porto: Carmo D. (Yellow Cards) Gabriel Veron (Thigh Injury) Marcano I. (Knee Injury) Wendell (Calf Injury) Zaidu (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Barcelona: ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Porto: Pepe (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
25.11.23	Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Barcelona - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.11.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Barcelona	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.11.23	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Barcelona - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLWL
- FC Porto
Taça de Portugal
24.11.23	Porto - Montalegre	4:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.11.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Porto	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.11.23	Porto - Royal Antwerp	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
03.11.23	Porto - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Vizela - Porto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
04.10.23	Porto - Barcelona	0:1

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