Match Info

LaLiga - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	Shabake 3
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 4
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2, Varzish Sport
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22


	Real Sociedad		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.33	1.65	Watch
	4.7	4.45	1.65	Watch
	5.11	4.57	1.62	Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.62
	4.83	4.4	1.68	Watch
	5	4.33	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↓ (4.99)	4.38 ↓ (4.68)	1.64 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
19.8%

Draw
21.8%

Barcelona
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

20.2%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

20.1%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.3%	9.3%	81.4%

Real Sociedad - Barcelona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Barcelona (1.99) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.75 - Real Sociedad (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (69 of 84 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.95% – 90.33%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 3 - 7.5%). Barcelona (votes: 33 - 82.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 31. Martin J. 5. Zubeldia I. 17. Gomez S. 14. Kubo T. 8. Turrientes B. 18. Soler C. 11. Guedes G. 23. Mendez B. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)	13. Garcia J. (G) 23. Kounde J. 5. Cubarsi P. 24. Garcia E. 3. Balde A. 8. Pedri 21. de Jong F. (C) 20. Olmo D. 10. Lamine Yamal 7. Torres F. 16. Fermín
Substitutes
7. Barrenetxea A. 16. Caleta-Car D. 6. Elustondo A. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 22. Goti Lopez M. 19. Karrikaburu J. 28. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 3. Munoz A. 47. Ochieng J. 20. Odriozola A. 24. Sucic L.	4. Araujo R. 19. Bardghji R. 22. Bernal M. 2. Cancelo J. 17. Casado M. 9. Lewandowski R. 18. Martin G. 14. Rashford M. 25. Szczesny W. (G) 1. ter Stegen M. (G)
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Flick H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Oyarzabal M. ⚽, Guedes G. (A),
37', Turrientes B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Aramburu J. 🟨,
58', Turrientes B. ↓, Gorrotxategi J. ↑,
58', Mendez B. ↓, Odriozola A. ↑,
62', Torres F. ↓, Lewandowski R. ↑,
62', Balde A. ↓, Cancelo J. ↑,
63', Olmo D. ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
69', Kubo T. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
69', Gomez S. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Rashford M. ⚽, Lamine Yamal (A),
71', 2 - 1, Guedes G. ⚽, Soler C. (A),
76', Garcia E. 🟨,
78', Zubeldia I. 🟨,
82', Aramburu J. ↓, Caleta-Car D. ↑,
84', Lewandowski R. 🟨,
85', Fermín 🟨,
85', Kounde J. ↓, Bardghji R. ↑,
86', Cubarsi P. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
88', Soler C. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 1.

Real Sociedad is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barcelona is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Barcelona is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Herrera Y. (Calf Injury) Lebarbier A. (Injury) Marchal A. (Injury) Oskarsson O. (Muscle Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Zakharyan A. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Barcelona: Christensen A. (Knee Injury) Gavi (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Barcelona: Fernandez D. (Injury) Raphinha (Knock)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 18:45. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 1:2.4).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Barcelona: 71.61% Real Sociedad: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	8	0	0	34:7	27	24
6	Real Sociedad	8	4	1	3	12:15	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.01.26	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	3:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.01.26	Getafe - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Levante - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Eldense - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTTW
- FC Barcelona
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.26	Racing Santander - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Spanish Supercopa
11.01.26	Barcelona - Real Madrid	3:2 ✺
07.01.26	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	5:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.26	Espanyol - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Villarreal - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
28.09.25	Barcelona - Real Sociedad	2:1
02.03.25	Barcelona - Real Sociedad	4:0
10.11.24	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	1:0
13.05.24	Barcelona - Real Sociedad	2:0
04.11.23	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	0:1
20.05.23	Barcelona - Real Sociedad	1:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
25.01.23	Barcelona - Real Sociedad	1:0

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