Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadi Johan Cruyff (Barcelona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Barca TV, Esport3, FEF TV, Movistar Plus+ 1


	Barcelona B		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.7
	2.2	3.25	2.8
	2.22	3.5	2.9
	2.33	3.42	2.81
	2.29	3.43	2.78	Watch
	2.36	3.22	2.87
	2.22	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.43)	3.39 ↑ (3.25)	2.82 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona B
40.4%

Draw
27.1%

Barakaldo
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.1%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Barcelona B - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astralaga A. (G) 4. Mbacke M. 2. Trilli 14. Cortes A. 27. Cuenca A. 20. Fernandez G. 6. Prim P. 17. Lopez R. 21. Darvich N. 24. Bikoue 10. Hernandez U.	1. Tena J. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 4. Jelbat A. 15. Muguruza A. 16. Lopez O. 17. Vicandi A. 20. Martinez J. 19. Isuskiza V. 5. Molina E. 18. Santiago P. 9. Sannadi M.
Substitutes
34. Espart X. 42. Gistau O. 23. Olmedo A. 38. Pradas A. 16. Sanchez E. 39. Soma P. 41. Yaakobishvili A. (G)	12. Artetxe M. 23. Bilbao L. 22. Bujan U. 2. de Jesus B. 8. Huidobro J. 6. Naveira U. 13. Perez U. (G) 11. Revilla A. 10. Torre I. 14. Txoperena U. 21. Uriarte K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Vicandi A. 🟨,
18', Trilli 🟨,
20', Jelbat A. 🟥,
27', Vicandi A. ↓, Artetxe M. ↑,
27', Isuskiza V. ↓, Uriarte K. ↑,
29', 1 - 0, Bikoue ⚽,
31', Mbacke M. 🟨,
34', Molina E. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Fernandez G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Mbacke M. 🟨,
55', Darvich N. ↓, Olmedo A. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Sannadi M. ⚽,
66', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Barcelona B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barakaldo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barcelona B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Barcelona B have a series of guest games.

Barcelona B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.10.24	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sestao - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
27.09.24	Tarazona - Barcelona B	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Barcelona B - Zamora	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Barcelona B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTTWL
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.10.24	Barakaldo - Zamora	0:3 ✺
13.10.24	Real Unión de Irun - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Barakaldo - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Ourense CF - Barakaldo	1:3 ✺
20.09.24	Barakaldo - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWWW

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