Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadi Johan Cruyff (Barcelona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Barca TV, Esport3, FEF TV, Movistar Plus+ 1, TVG 2


	Barcelona B		Lugo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.14	3.3	3.25
	2.27	3.17	3.25
	2.2	3.16	3.16	Watch
	2.19	3.18	3.21
	2.14	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)	3.22 ↑ (3.03)	3.2 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona B
42.6%

Draw
28.6%

Lugo
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

31.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Barcelona B - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kochen D. (G) 25. Oduro D. 14. Cortes A. 4. Mbacke M. 2. Trilli 17. Lopez R. 6. Prim P. 39. Soma P. 10. Junyent Q. 24. Bikoue 21. Darvich N.	1. Lavin M. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 23. Rodriguez J. 6. Nicholas N. 3. Zoilo A. 27. Gonzalez J. 8. Gonzalez Y. 24. Martinez R. 10. Cabo J. 17. Ochoa M. 7. Hernandez R.
Substitutes
15. Aziz Issah A. 34. Espart X. 32. Farre L. 20. Fernandez G. 42. Gistau O. 30. Hernandez J. 23. Olmedo A. 12. Piera J. 16. Sanchez E. 41. Yaakobishvili A. (G)	5. Bernardo 13. Cacharron P. (G) 21. Ceberio J. 19. Cuellar J. 18. Lesme F. 28. Noya D. 11. Perero G. 20. Sanchez M. 22. Vaquero 14. Vidal D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Hernandez U. ⚽,
40', Nicholas N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Vidal D. ↑,
46', Martinez R. ↓, Vaquero ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Vaquero ⚽,
67', Darvich N. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
73', Gonzalez J. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
79', Lopez R. ↓, Gistau O. ↑,
84', Cabo J. ↓, Perero G. ↑,
85', Lizancos A. 🟨,
87', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
89', Hernandez R. ↓, Ceberio J. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 2.

Recent matches Barcelona B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lugo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lugo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barcelona B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.11.24	Barcelona B - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Barcelona B - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sestao - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTTT
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.24	Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Osasuna B - Lugo	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Lugo	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Lugo - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.04.24	Barcelona B - Lugo	1:0
10.12.23	Lugo - Barcelona B	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
18.02.18	Lugo - Barcelona B	1:2
25.09.17	Barcelona B - Lugo	1:2
07.03.15	Lugo - Barcelona B	3:2
04.10.14	Barcelona B - Lugo	0:1
25.01.14	Lugo - Barcelona B	1:0

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