Match Info

Date: 24 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Referee: Zambrano R. (Ecu)


	Barcelona Guayaquil		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	6	Watch
	1.55	3.9	4.8
	1.5	3.9	5.6
	1.53	3.95	5.2
	1.6	3.79	6.28
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.57	4.15	5.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.37)	3.97 ↓ (4.41)	5.56 ↓ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
60%

Draw
23.3%

9 de Octubre
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

20.8%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

22.7%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona Guayaquil's form might have worsened.

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona Guayaquil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 9 de Octubre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Barcelona Guayaquil - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

9 de Octubre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barcelona Guayaquil is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barcelona Guayaquil won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona Guayaquil won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.07.22	Técnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 ✺
10.07.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Delfín	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
02.07.22	El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.05.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Cumbayá	4:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.05.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWT
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.07.22	Mushuc Runa - 9 de Octubre	3:1 ✺
09.07.22	9 de Octubre - Técnico Universitario	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
04.07.22	9 de Octubre - Orense	2:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.05.22	9 de Octubre - Independiente del Valle	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.05.22	Internacional RS - 9 de Octubre	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.03.22	9 de Octubre - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:3
01.11.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - 9 de Octubre	1:3
16.05.21	9 de Octubre - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1
Club Friendly
14.02.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - 9 de Octubre	1:1

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