Match Info

Date: 21 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil)


	9 de Octubre		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.8
	3.9	3.35	1.85
	3.2	3.4	1.77
	4.08	3.46	1.91
	3.72	3.72	1.78	Watch
	3.35	3.6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↓ (3.8)	3.52 ↑ (3.3)	1.82 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
25%

Draw
25.6%

Independiente del Valle
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

28.2%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.4%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

9 de Octubre - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

9 de Octubre is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Independiente del Valle is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently 9 de Octubre have a series of guest games.

Independiente del Valle will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches 9 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams 9 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.09.22	Delfín - 9 de Octubre	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
14.09.22	Independiente del Valle - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.09.22	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
08.09.22	El Nacional - 9 de Octubre	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.09.22	Guayaquil City - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLT
- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.09.22	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
14.09.22	Independiente del Valle - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.09.22	Independiente del Valle - Delfín	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.09.22	FBC Melgar - Independiente del Valle	0:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.09.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Copa
14.09.22	Independiente del Valle - 9 de Octubre	1:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.05.22	9 de Octubre - Independiente del Valle	1:1
02.10.21	9 de Octubre - Independiente del Valle	1:0
18.04.21	Independiente del Valle - 9 de Octubre	2:1

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