Match Info

Date: 25 May 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)


	Montevideo Wanderers		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.1
	3.4	3.3	2.1
	3.5	3.3	2.04
	3.35	3.25	2.03
	3.33	3.55	2.16
	3.4	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.45	3.45	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.37)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	2.07 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
27.2%

Draw
27.8%

Barcelona Guayaquil
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

26.7%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.2%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	33.3%	40%

Montevideo Wanderers - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Barcelona will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Wanderers is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Barcelona Guayaquil is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wanderers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Wanderers have a series of guest games.

Barcelona Guayaquil will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.05.22	Cerrito - Montevideo Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.22	Lanús - Montevideo Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.05.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
08.05.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.22	Metropolitanos - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WWTLW
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.05.22	SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.22	Metropolitanos - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.05.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
11.05.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec	1:1 ✺
08.05.22	Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
07.04.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Montevideo Wanderers	4:2

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