Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday


	Bari		ACR Messina

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	8
	1.25	4.75	10
	1.27	4.8	8.8
	1.3	4.97	9.76
	1.3	4.2	9.5
	1.32	4.75	8.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)	4.75 ↑ (4.4)	9.14 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
70.8%

Draw
19.2%

ACR Messina
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

21.2%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.6%

17.9%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Bari - ACR Messina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Bari is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches ACR Messina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Bari is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bari won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie C Group C
02.02.22	Nuova Monterosi - Bari	0:1 ✺
30.01.22	Paganese - Bari	1:2 ✺
23.01.22	Bari - Catania	3:3 ✺
22.12.21	Bari - Potenza	2:0 ✺
19.12.21	Palermo - Bari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTWT
- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
02.02.22	Palermo - ACR Messina	2:2 ✺
30.01.22	ACR Messina - Picerno	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Virtus Francavilla - ACR Messina	5:1 ✺
22.12.21	ACR Messina - Paganese	2:1 ✺
19.12.21	ACR Messina - Catania	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
29.09.21	ACR Messina - Bari	0:2
Italian Serie D - Group I
06.01.19	Bari - ACR Messina	2:0
16.09.18	ACR Messina - Bari	0:3

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