Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Palermo		ACR Messina

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.6	7	Watch
	1.4	4	6
	1.32	4.7	7.4
	1.38	4.28	7.41
	1.3	4.2	9.5
	1.35	4.45	8.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.5)	4.37 ↑ (3.71)	7.65 ↑ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
67.3%

Draw
20.8%

ACR Messina
11.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.4%

24.4%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

15.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palermo's performance.

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-28.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palermo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ACR Messina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Palermo - ACR Messina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Palermo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Palermo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie C Group C
30.01.22	Palermo - Nuova Monterosi	2:0 ✺
24.01.22	Catanzaro - Palermo	0:0 ✺
22.12.21	Latina - Palermo	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Palermo - Bari	0:0 ✺
12.12.21	Catania - Palermo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLTL
- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
30.01.22	ACR Messina - Picerno	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Virtus Francavilla - ACR Messina	5:1 ✺
22.12.21	ACR Messina - Paganese	2:1 ✺
19.12.21	ACR Messina - Catania	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Turris - ACR Messina	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
04.09.21	ACR Messina - Palermo	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group I
24.11.19	Palermo - ACR Messina	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
01.11.26	Palermo - Vicenza Virtus	✺
28.10.26	Pisa - Palermo	✺

Palermo - ACR Messina