Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
World	Onefootball


	Casarano		Brescia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.38	Watch
	3.03	2.94	2.69
	3.16	3.03	2.27	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.38
	2.99	3.1	2.43	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.81)	3.05 (3.05)	2.41 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
31.3%

Draw
30.4%

Brescia
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.9%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

30.4%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Brescia aligns with the current prediction.

Casarano - Brescia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 24. Gega E. 34. Negro S. 3. Giraudo F. 35. Cerbone S. 17. Maiello R. 23. Logoluso G. 11. Ferrara V. 10. Chirico C. 9. Grandolfo F. 46. Leonetti V.	66. Gori S. (G) 3. Rizzo A. 28. Silvestri L. 18. De Maria V. 11. Cisco A. 14. Mallamo A. 6. Mercati A. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 27. Lamesta A. 93. Marras M. 99. Crespi V.
Substitutes
25. Bachini M. 5. Celiento D. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 98. Ferilli M. (G) 29. Gyamfi B. 33. Mercadante M. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G. 18. Perez L. 16. Santarcangelo A.	82. Armati L. 80. Beldenti S. 24. Boci B. 97. Cazzadori D. 22. Damioli M. (G) 21. Fogliata R. 1. Liverani L. (G) 42. Moretti L. 45. Valente M. 20. Zennaro M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Balestrero D. ⚽,
40', Cisco A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cisco A. ↓, Armati L. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Negro S. (Own goal),
59', 0 - 3, Crespi V. ⚽,
60', Logoluso G. ↓, Celiento D. ↑,
63', Mallamo A. ↓, Zennaro M. ↑,
63', De Maria V. ↓, Boci B. ↑,
65', Lamesta A. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
72', Gega E. ↓, Mercadante M. ↑,
72', Maiello R. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
75', Crespi V. ↓, Cazzadori D. ↑,
79', Leonetti V. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
79', Grandolfo F. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
82', Fogliata R. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Casarano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Casarano has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Brescia	9	5	4	0	16:6	10	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
13.05.26	Renate - Casarano	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	Casarano - Renate	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Nuova Cosenza - Casarano	1:5 ✺
03.05.26	Monopoli - Casarano	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Altamura - Casarano	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.8 WLWWW
- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.26	Inter U23 - Brescia	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Brescia - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lumezzane - Brescia	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Brescia - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Vicenza Virtus - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWT

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