Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
World	Onefootball


	Brescia		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.95	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4.24
	1.86	3.22	4.18	Watch
	1.85	3	3.9
	1.86	3.24	4.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.63)	3.2 ↓ (3.38)	4.16 ↓ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
49.3%

Draw
28.7%

Casarano
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

27.3%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

26.1%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brescia's form might have worsened.

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casarano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casarano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Brescia - Casarano Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Casarano will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Gori S. (G) 42. Moretti L. 3. Rizzo A. 28. Silvestri L. 82. Armati L. 6. Mercati A. 20. Zennaro M. (C) 24. Boci B. 93. Marras M. 97. Cazzadori D. 99. Crespi V.	22. Chiorra N. (G) 27. Versienti L. 34. Negro S. 33. Mercadante M. 3. Giraudo F. 11. Ferrara V. 17. Maiello R. 35. Cerbone S. 10. Chirico C. 9. Grandolfo F. 46. Leonetti V.
Substitutes
8. Balestrero D. 80. Beldenti S. 11. Cisco A. 22. Damioli M. (G) 18. De Maria V. 21. Fogliata R. 27. Lamesta A. 1. Liverani L. (G) 17. Maistrello T. 14. Mallamo A. 45. Valente M. 9. Vido L.	25. Bachini M. 5. Celiento D. 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 24. Gega E. 29. Gyamfi B. 23. Logoluso G. 6. Patrignani G. 18. Perez L. 12. Pucci D. (G) 16. Santarcangelo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Cerbone S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Crespi V. ↓, Lamesta A. ↑,
57', Leonetti V. ↓, Logoluso G. ↑,
57', Giraudo F. 🟨,
60', Cazzadori D. ↓, Vido L. ↑,
60', Zennaro M. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
60', Boci B. ↓, De Maria V. ↑,
65', Chirico C. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
65', Maiello R. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
68', Marras M. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
69', Negro S. 🟨,
74', Grandolfo F. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
82', Di Dio F. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 3-0.

Brescia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Casarano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Casarano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brescia is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brescia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Brescia	9	5	4	0	16:6	10	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
17.05.26	Casarano - Brescia	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Inter U23 - Brescia	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Brescia - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lumezzane - Brescia	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Brescia - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
17.05.26	Casarano - Brescia	0:3 ✺
13.05.26	Renate - Casarano	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	Casarano - Renate	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Nuova Cosenza - Casarano	1:5 ✺
03.05.26	Monopoli - Casarano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.05.26	Casarano - Brescia	0:3

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