Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	CMore Sport
Italy	Sky Sport


	Bari		SPAL

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	2.15	3.2	3.4
	2.05	3.35	3.4
	2.13	3.4	3.78
	2.02	3.54	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.45)	3.35 ↑ (3.24)	3.5 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
45.1%

Draw
28.1%

SPAL
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

28.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bari's performance.

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SPAL might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.9%	33.3%	2.8%

Bari - SPAL Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 2.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 48.2% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Bari has the most likely position - 14 (6.17%), has project points - 49, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

SPAL has the most likely position - 14 (6.59%), has project points - 49, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (21%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 31, small importance 29, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Now both teams are in good shape.

Bari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bari will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bari won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
28.08.22	Perugia - Bari	1:3 ✺
19.08.22	Bari - Palermo	1:1 ✺
12.08.22	Parma - Bari	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
07.08.22	Verona - Bari	1:4 ✺
31.07.22	Bari - Padova	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WTTWW
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie B
27.08.22	SPAL - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Ascoli - SPAL	1:1 ✺
14.08.22	SPAL - Reggina	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
06.08.22	Empoli - SPAL	1:2 ET ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.22	SPAL - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
30.09.20	SPAL - Bari	1:0 penalties
Italian Serie B
18.05.17	SPAL - Bari	2:1
29.12.16	Bari - SPAL	1:1

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