Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 7

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport Arena, Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Parma		Bari

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.88	3.25	4.33
	1.9	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3.38	4.69
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.89	3.34	4.3	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.15)	3.27 ↑ (3.27)	4.29 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
49.5%

Draw
28.7%

Bari
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.7%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Parma's performance.

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Parma - Bari Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Bari will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chichizola L. (G) 15. Del Prato E. 4. Balogh B. 39. Circati A. 14. Ansaldi C. 27. Hernani 8. Estevez N. 21. Partipilo A. 19. Sohm S. 28. Mihaila V. 17. Colak A.	22. Brenno (G) 93. Dorval M. 6. Di Cesare V. 23. Vicari F. 31. Ricci G. 26. Koutsoupias I. 17. Maiello R. 4. Maita M. 20. Sibilli G. 49. Aramu M. 9. Nasti M.
Substitutes
11. Begic T. 7. Benedyczak A. 10. Bernabe A. 13. Bonny A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 77. Di Chiara G. 20. Hainaut A. 98. Man D. 3. Osorio Y. 22. Turk M. (G) 47. Zagaritis V.	44. Acampora G. 11. Achik I. 10. Bellomo N. 8. Benali A. 18. Diaw D. 24. Edjouma M. 19. Faggi F. 1. Farroni A. (G) 99. Frabotta G. 5. Matino E. 77. Morachioli G. 21. Zuzek Z.
Coaches
Pecchia F.	Mignani M.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Parma won 3.

Parma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Bari is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Parma is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Parma won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
24.09.23	Parma - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Catanzaro - Parma	0:5 ✺
02.09.23	Parma - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
29.08.23	Pisa - Parma	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Parma - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTWW
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
24.09.23	Bari - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Pisa - Bari	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Ternana - Bari	0:0 ✺
30.08.23	Bari - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Cremonese - Bari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
12.08.23	Bari - Parma	0:3
Italian Serie B
14.01.23	Bari - Parma	4:0
Coppa Italia
19.10.22	Parma - Bari	1:0
Italian Serie B
12.08.22	Parma - Bari	2:2
12.05.18	Parma - Bari	1:0
21.12.17	Bari - Parma	0:0
Coppa Italia
06.08.17	Bari - Parma	2:1

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